Free UEFA Nations League predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
78 UEFA Nations League matches this week
The Nations League introduced a competitive structure to international football that the model has had to learn from scratch. Promotion and relegation between Leagues A, B, C and D means the form-vs-class gap shifts every cycle, and the rotation patterns are different to friendlies. We model Leagues A and B separately from C and D because the underlying data quality is significantly better at the top tier. Below: every upcoming UEFA Nations League fixture in the next seven days, with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page includes the bookmaker odds comparison, recent form and head-to-head where available. The double-chance market is where our edge sits most often in this competition. The public over-rates outright winners in nation-vs-nation fixtures. The 30-day accuracy callout below pulls live and hides under ten settled picks.
How often each market has landed in the UEFA Nations League, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
30-day Nations League accuracy is published live above the matches grid during international windows. Outside windows the stat may hide because matches are blocked into specific weeks.
Promotion and relegation between Leagues A, B, C and D means the form-vs-class gap shifts every cycle. We model Leagues A and B separately from C and D because underlying data quality is significantly better at the top tier.
The double-chance market. The public over-rates outright winners in nation-vs-nation fixtures and the draw or favourite-cover line shows value more often than the straight win line.
The four-team finals are some of the highest-data-density international matches we model: full xG, confirmed starting XIs, complete recent form. Confidence in our probabilities is high.
Yes when fixtures fall inside our seven-day window. Play-off matches are treated as a separate knockout regime.
We weight recent club-football form into the international fixture model because national-team coaches typically pick on club-football performance: a striker scoring for his club week-on-week is more likely to start than one stuck on the bench.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate UEFA Nations League predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.