Serie A predictions today
Serie A · 72% verified · 1,027 picksFree Serie A predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
Free Serie A predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
7 Serie A matches this week
The model's number is free on the next three games still to kick off. Behind this line: 4 more rows, a written card on 4 of them. Seven days for £1 opens every other row, the number and the call on each, and the desk's written card on the game: the pattern, who is missing, keep or kill.
Frosinone 7th DWWL 14:00 the call, for members Como 4th WWWWD Parma 18th LDLLW 14:00 the call, for members Genoa 19th DLLLL Juventus 8th WLDWW 17:00 the call, for members Atalanta 11th LLWWD AC Milan 6th LDDWW 19:45 the call, for members Lecce 12th WLLWWSerie A models reward patience. Italy's top flight has the lowest goals-per-game of the European top-five for a reason: tactical setups skew defensively, set-piece routines are more refined than anywhere outside Bundesliga corner specialists, and the gap between mid-table and the bottom three is narrower than any other league we cover. We lean on expected-goals splits and head-to-head form weighted by venue here more than we do for the Premier League. Below: every upcoming Serie A fixture with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. The unders market is where Serie A predictions on this site have historically outperformed. Under 2.5 hits at a higher rate here than any other top-five league we track, and we'll flag the genuine value bets where our number diverges from the conservative bookmaker price. Each fixture page includes a bookmaker odds comparison across all UK books, recent form, head-to-head record and the API-Football second-opinion blend.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Serie A, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept | Como vs Parma | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Napoli vs Bologna | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Napoli vs Bologna | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 14 Sept | Sassuolo vs Juventus | Over 1.5 | 3-2 | Won |
| 7 Sept | Cagliari vs Lecce | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 7 Sept | Cagliari vs Lecce | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 6 Sept | Bologna vs Sassuolo | Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Frosinone vs Venezia | Over 1.5 | 3-2 | Won |
| 6 Sept | AS Roma vs Atalanta | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Fiorentina vs Torino | Home/Draw | 1-2 | Lost |
| 5 Sept | Genoa vs Como | Over 1.5 | 1-4 | Won |
| 1 Sept | Atalanta vs Bologna | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 1 Sept | Atalanta vs Bologna | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 31 Aug | Lecce vs AS Roma | Over 1.5 | 0-4 | Won |
| 30 Aug | Juventus vs Parma | Over 1.5 | 2-0 | Won |
30-day Serie A accuracy is published live in the callout above the matches grid. Serie A's unders market has historically been one of our stronger lines on the site.
Tactical setups skew defensively, set-piece routines are more refined than anywhere outside Bundesliga corner specialists, and the gap between mid-table and the bottom three is narrower than any other league we cover.
Under 2.5 calls in Serie A hit at a higher rate than any other top-five league we track. The public consistently over-rates goals expectancy here, particularly in fixtures involving the Milan clubs.
Coppa Italia fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day window. Like the FA Cup we treat early rounds as a different regime to the knockouts.
Head-to-head form weighted by venue carries more weight in Serie A than in the Premier League. The tactical consistency of Italian sides means recent H2H meetings are a genuinely predictive signal.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the Italian top flight only at present.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate Serie A predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.