Free Premier League predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
4 Premier League matches this week
The model's number is free on the next three games still to kick off. Behind this line: 1 more rows, a written card on 1 of them. Seven days for £1 opens every other row, the number and the call on each, and the desk's written card on the game: the pattern, who is missing, keep or kill.
Fulham 20th WDLLW 16:30 the call, for members Manchester United 13th LLWDWThe Premier League is the most heavily-traded football market on the planet, and that shapes how we predict it. Every kickoff, a Saturday 12:30 banker, a Monday Night Football six-pointer, a relegation scrap on the final day, moves prices across home/draw/away, BTTS, totals and corners within seconds of team news landing. We collect odds from 19 traditional bookmakers and 4 exchanges, then anchor our model probability to the most conservative traditional price. That's deliberate: a 65% home favourite typically shows up at 1.62 on our page rather than the inflated 1.45 you'll see on Betfair after the smart money has hit. The Premier League's depth of data also means we lean harder on expected-goals splits, recent underlying form, and head-to-head context than we do for lower-volume leagues. Below you'll find every upcoming Premier League fixture this week, with model probabilities for the match result, both-teams-to-score, and over/under 2.5 goals, alongside a form table built from the last five matches each side has played in the competition. Click any fixture to read the full preview: bookmaker comparison, our pick reasoning, injury news, and historical scoreline frequencies generated from Poisson on top of the latest underlying numbers.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Premier League, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sept | Tottenham vs Aston Villa | Home/Draw | 2-3 | Lost |
| 19 Sept | Brentford vs Chelsea | Over 2.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 19 Sept | Brentford vs Chelsea | Over 1.5 | 3-0 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Manchester United vs Manchester City | Under 45 | 0-1 | Won |
| 13 Sept | Sunderland vs Arsenal | Over 1.5 | 0-2 | Won |
| 12 Sept | Crystal Palace vs Ipswich | Over 2.5 | 2-3 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Arsenal vs Chelsea | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Arsenal vs Chelsea | Over 2.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Everton vs Manchester United | Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Brighton vs Leeds | Home/Draw | 1-1 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Newcastle vs Bournemouth | Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Manchester City vs Coventry | Home win | 1-0 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Ipswich vs Liverpool | Over 1.5 | 0-2 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Ipswich vs Liverpool | Over 2.5 | 0-2 | Lost |
| 5 Sept | Ipswich vs Liverpool | Under 45 | 0-2 | Won |
Our 30-day Premier League accuracy is published live on this page. See the accuracy callout above the matches grid. We log every prediction to a verified-outcomes ledger and rebuild the hit-rate stat on every page load. You can see the full settled history at /accuracy.
We pull odds from 19 traditional bookmakers and 4 exchanges, anchor probability to the most conservative traditional price, then blend that with underlying expected-goals data, recent form (last 5 matches each side), head-to-head record and injury news from API-Football. There's no hand-tipping in the model.
Yes, every Premier League match in the upcoming week is listed on this page. Each fixture has its own preview page with full bookmaker comparison, our pick and reasoning, head-to-head record and the API-Football second opinion.
Historically our Premier League BTTS and over/under 2.5 calls have outperformed our 1X2 hit rate, mainly because the goals markets carry less line-movement noise than the match-result market. The market-by-market breakdown is on the accuracy page.
Yes. Injury data refreshes from API-Football multiple times daily, and the model's probabilities recalculate when significant absences are detected. Lineup-confirmed updates land roughly an hour before kickoff.
We publish a Saturday accumulator built primarily from Premier League fixtures every week. See /saturday-acca. The challenge tier uses strict 72-82% probability thresholds on top-flight matches only.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate Premier League predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.