Our Full Track Record
Every pick, every result. Nothing hidden, nothing cherry-picked, so you can audit exactly how our model has performed.
Last updated 2026-08-05 02:20
746
Total Picks
511
/
235
W / L
68.5%
Hit Rate
Monthly Breakdown
Feb 26
Mar 26
Apr 26
May 26
Jun 26
Jul 26
Wins
Losses
Breakdown by Market
Home Win
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
Double Chance - Home/Draw
BTTS Yes
Draw No Bet - Home
Away Win
Under 3.5 Goals
Double Chance - No Draw
Double Chance - Away/Draw
BTTS No
Markets with fewer than 10 verified picks hidden. Too small a sample to draw conclusions.
Calibration by Confidence
For each probability band: what the model predicted vs what actually happened. Close to zero = well-calibrated.
90-100%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
30-40%
Green = within 5pp (calibrated). Gold = over-delivering (actual beat the prediction). Orange = under-delivering. Small samples are noisy. Weigh bands with more picks more heavily.
Breakdown by League
Championship
Premier League
League Two
League One
Bundesliga
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
World Cup
Champions League
Full Pick History
| Date | Match | League | Pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 26 |
Spain vs Argentina
1-0
|
World Cup |
Over 1.5 Goals
71.2%
|
1.33 |
LOSS
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a 71% lean before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 1-0, only one goal, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 20 Jul 26 |
Spain vs Argentina
1-0
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
75.0%
|
1.26 |
WIN
The Money Model made Spain or the draw a strong 75% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 1-0.
|
| 19 Jul 26 |
France vs England
4-6
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
77.5%
|
1.25 |
LOSS
The Money Model made France or the draw a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 4-6.
|
| 19 Jul 26 |
France vs England
4-6
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
78.3%
|
1.20 |
WIN
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 4-6.
|
| 12 Jul 26 |
Norway vs England
1-2
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
77.2%
|
1.28 |
WIN
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 77% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 1-2.
|
| 11 Jul 26 |
Spain vs Belgium
2-1
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
78.3%
|
1.25 |
WIN
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-1.
|
| 5 Jul 26 |
Paraguay vs France
0-1
|
World Cup |
Over 1.5 Goals
77.8%
|
1.17 |
LOSS
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-1, only one goal, short of the 1.5 line.
|
| 4 Jul 26 |
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands
3-2
|
World Cup |
Over 1.5 Goals
77.8%
|
1.17 |
WIN
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a strong 78% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 3-2, 5 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 2 Jul 26 |
Belgium vs Senegal
3-2
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
74.4%
|
1.30 |
WIN
The Money Model made Belgium or the draw a 74% lean before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 3-2.
|
| 1 Jul 26 |
England vs Congo DR
2-1
|
World Cup |
Over 1.5 Goals
72.8%
|
1.31 |
WIN
The Money Model made Over 1.5 goals a 73% lean before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 2-1, 3 goals, clear of the 1.5 line.
|
| 29 Jun 26 |
South Africa vs Canada
0-1
|
World Cup |
Away Win
54.7%
|
1.74 |
WIN
The Money Model made Canada to win a fine-margin 55% call before a ball was kicked.
Landed, a fine-margin call that went our way. It finished 0-1.
|
| 29 Jun 26 |
South Africa vs Canada
0-1
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
75.5%
|
1.29 |
WIN
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 76% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 0-1.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Jordan vs Argentina
1-3
|
World Cup |
Away Win
74.4%
|
1.13 |
WIN
The Money Model made Argentina to win a 74% lean before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 1-3.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Colombia vs Portugal
0-0
|
World Cup |
Away Win
47.5%
|
2.06 |
LOSS
The Money Model made Portugal to win a fine-margin 48% call before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A tight call we got wrong; it stays on the record. It finished 0-0.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
3-1
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
77.2%
|
1.25 |
WIN
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 77% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 3-1.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
3-1
|
World Cup |
Home Win
54.4%
|
1.70 |
WIN
The Money Model made Congo DR to win a fine-margin 54% call before a ball was kicked.
Landed, a fine-margin call that went our way. It finished 3-1.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Colombia vs Portugal
0-0
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - No Draw
77.2%
|
1.27 |
LOSS
The Money Model made a winner (no draw) a strong 77% read before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-0.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Algeria vs Austria
3-3
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - Away/Draw
77.2%
|
1.29 |
WIN
The Money Model made Austria or the draw a strong 77% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed. The model's lean came good. It finished 3-3.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Panama vs England
0-2
|
World Cup |
Over 2.5 Goals
68.3%
|
1.40 |
LOSS
The Money Model made Over 2.5 goals a 68% lean before a ball was kicked.
Missed. A lean, not a lock, and the game broke the other way. It finished 0-2, only 2 goals, short of the 2.5 line.
|
| 28 Jun 26 |
Croatia vs Ghana
2-1
|
World Cup |
Double Chance - Home/Draw
83.4%
|
1.19 |
WIN
The Money Model made Croatia or the draw a strong 83% read before a ball was kicked.
Landed, exactly as the model read it. It finished 2-1.
|
Showing 20 of 746
Disclaimer: Odds shown are the best available at the time the prediction was recorded. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. T&Cs apply.