The Bundesliga is the most over-bet 'goals league' in football and we lean against that. Yes, the historical goals-per-game in the German top flight runs hotter than La Liga or Serie A, but the public over-rates it: bookmakers consistently price over 2.5 at 1.55 in matches our model puts closer to a coin flip. We pull odds from every major German and UK book plus the exchanges, anchor probability to the most conservative traditional price, and deliberately don't fade the unders the way the public does. Below: every upcoming Bundesliga fixture with match-result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 probabilities. Each fixture page shows the full odds comparison, the API-Football second-opinion line, recent form for both sides and head-to-head when relevant. Bundesliga predictions on this site have historically run above our overall hit rate in the BTTS market. The German top flight is a genuine both-teams-to-score league once you strip out the Bayern blowouts, and you can see the 30-day callout below for the current sample. We hide the stat when our settled volume drops below ten in a 30-day window.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
How often each market has landed in the Bundesliga, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
17 days until the Bundesliga season returns, Saturday 22 August 2026.
Our AI model logs every pick before kick-off with a public, verified record, 746 settled predictions graded win or loss. That record is historical and does not predict future results.
Rated Bundesliga predictions return here the moment the new season is priced. Follow your team now and we will email our model read on their first game.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln | Over 2.5 | 5-1 | ✔ |
| 16 May | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Köln | Draw no bet home | 5-1 | ✔ |
| 16 May | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim | Home/Away | 4-0 | ✔ |
| 9 May | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich | Over 2.5 | 0-1 | ✗ |
| 9 May | TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | Home win | 1-0 | ✔ |
| 9 May | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | BTTS Yes | 3-1 | ✔ |
| 9 May | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | Over 2.5 | 3-1 | ✔ |
| 9 May | RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli | Over 2.5 | 2-1 | ✔ |
| 9 May | TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | Home/Away | 1-0 | ✔ |
| 4 May | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | BTTS Yes | 1-1 | ✔ |
| 4 May | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | Over 2.5 | 1-1 | ✗ |
| 3 May | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | BTTS Yes | 1-0 | ✗ |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | Home win | 4-0 | ✔ |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | Draw no bet home | 4-0 | ✔ |
| 26 Apr | VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen | Home win | 1-1 | ✗ |
30-day Bundesliga accuracy is published in the callout above the matches grid. The Bundesliga has been one of our better-performing leagues for BTTS calls historically.
The public over-rates Bundesliga goals-per-game. Bookmakers consistently price over 2.5 at 1.55 in matches our model puts closer to a coin flip. We anchor to the conservative price and refuse to chase short over-odds.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the German top flight only at present.
We treat Bayern matches as a separate regime when projecting goals expectancy because their goal-difference distribution skews the league average significantly. The probability output for a Bayern home game looks different to a mid-table Bundesliga fixture.
BTTS calls have historically outperformed our overall site hit rate in Bundesliga fixtures. The German top flight is a genuine both-teams-to-score league once you strip out the Bayern blowouts.
When DFB-Pokal matches fall inside our seven-day forward window they appear in our coverage, treated with the same rotation-aware logic we apply to FA Cup early-round ties.
Our AI-powered model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate Bundesliga predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.