Last man standing tips, safest first

One team to win outright this weekend. A draw or a defeat and you are out, and most pools bar the same team twice. Every Premier League, Championship and League One fixture, the side likelier to win by the model's own number, safest first. The three leagues are on the record, so the number is ours, not the market's. Where the desk has written a card on a game, its headline, verdict and team news sit under the row.

11 September to 14 September 33 fixtures 71% over 963 graded picks

This weekend, safest first

the model's outright win number

All 33 sides this weekend, ranked safest first, and on 11 of them the model rates the side higher than its price does. Seven days for £1 ranks every one of them safest first, puts the model's number on each, and adds the desk's card where the game has been researched, so a giant can be kept back for the week you need it.

1 Chelsea v Hull City, home · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 4th v 3rd LWWWL  v  LDWDW 1.25
2 Liverpool v Fulham, home · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 6th v 19th WDDDL  v  LLWLW 1.44
3 Arsenal v Sunderland, away · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 · 2nd v 12th WWWDW  v  WDWLW 1.50
West Ham v Wrexham, home · Championship · Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 · 1st v 13th WWWDL  v  DDWLD 1.57
West Brom v QPR, home · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 WDLWW 1.91
Birmingham v Derby, away · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 · 14th v 21st DDWDD  v  LWLDL 2.20
Leyton Orient v Wycombe, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 2.50
Cardiff v Bolton, away · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 · 20th v 22nd DLLDD  v  LLLLD 2.62
Bradford v Notts County, away · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 2.38
Southampton v Bristol City, home · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 12th v 5th WDDWL  v  WWWDL 1.67
Middlesbrough v Norwich, home · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 3rd v 16th LWDWW  v  WLWLL 1.75
Blackpool v Bromley, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.75
Crystal Palace v Ipswich, home · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 13th v 13th WWLLW  v  LLW 1.85
Plymouth v Barnsley, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.67
Sheffield Wednesday v Wigan, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.75
Oxford United v Burton Albion, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.85
Huddersfield v Mansfield Town, away · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 2.05
Stockport County v Leicester, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.80
Swansea v Burnley, home · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 2nd v 23rd LDWWD  v  DLDLD 2.10
Charlton v Portsmouth, home · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 7th v 17th LDWWW  v  WLLWL 2.50
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, home · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 17th v 16th WDLLW  v  DDLLD 2.05
Millwall v Blackburn, away · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 8th v 18th LWLLW  v  LLDLW 2.40
AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 2.50
Brentford v Bournemouth, away · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 5th v 15th DDWWD  v  DDL 2.62
Milton Keynes Dons v Peterborough, home · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 1.95
Reading v Cambridge United, away · League One · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 2.62
Stoke City v Watford, away · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 15th v 11th DWWLD  v  WLLDL 2.90
Lincoln v Preston, away · Championship · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 · 19th v 24th DDWLL  v  LWLLL 2.90
Tottenham v Everton, home · Premier League · Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 · 17th v 8th DLL  v  DDWWL 2.00
Wolves v Sheffield Utd, away · Championship · Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 · 10th v 9th DLWWD  v  WLWDD 2.25
Brighton v Coventry, away · Premier League · Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 · 10th v 20th DLW  v  LLL 1.80
Manchester City v Manchester United, away · Premier League · Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 · 1st v 11th WWWWL  v  DWLWW 2.10
Newcastle v Leeds, away · Premier League · Mon 14 Sept, 20:00 · 6th v 9th DWD  v  DDW 2.80

Three numbers free, ranked. Members see the model's number on all 33 fixtures, the full ranking safest first, and next weekend's safest sides, so you can save a giant for the week you need it.

Seven days for £1

Next weekend, for planning

19 September to 21 September

Next weekend's safest side by the model: Newcastle v Hull City, home, the model 65%. Members see all 8 ranked, so the giants can be kept for the week you need them.

See what members get

How to use it. Pick from the top, but think a week ahead: a side at 80%+ this weekend may be the one you need in three weeks. Never lean on a side away at a rival, and remember a draw puts you out as surely as a defeat. The number is the model's chance of an outright win, graded in public on the record. Analysis, not advice. 18+.