Last man standing tips, strongest first

One team to win this weekend. Every Premier League fixture, the likelier side ranked by the model's win number, with its price.

24 to 25 October 6 fixtures

This weekend, strongest first

the model's outright win number
1 Brentford crestBrentford v Hull City, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 7th v 11th The desk Hull's crisis-hit squad and Brentford's two red-card absences point to goals over winners here. Team news for Brentford: Yehor Yarmoliuk: suspended (red card vs Liverpool); Vitaly Janelt: suspended (second yellow vs Liverpool). more from the desk, for members LDWWD  v  LDLDL 58% 1.73
2 Chelsea crestChelsea v Tottenham, home · Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 · 4th v 15th The desk Chelsea's home run and Tottenham's patched-up defence both point the same way: home control. Team news for Chelsea: Reece James: doubt (minor injury, assessed week to week); Cole Palmer: fit; Joao Pedro: fit; and 1 more. more from the desk, for members WWLDW  v  WDLLD 51% 1.91
3 Leeds crestLeeds v Sunderland, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 · 8th v 20th The desk Sunderland's home form fights Leeds' away run, both sides missing their sharpest attacker. Team news for Leeds: Noah Okafor: out, hamstring injury; Joe Rodon: fitness doubt, recent knock. more from the desk, for members DLDWL  v  DLWLL 47% 2.45
Newcastle crestNewcastle v Crystal Palace, away · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 13th v 16th The desk Neither side is defending well right now, so this reads as a goals game, not a result bet. more from the desk, for members LLWLW  v  DLLWD 45% 2.30
Liverpool crestLiverpool v Brighton, home · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 5th v 3rd The desk Liverpool's weakened attack hosts in-form Brighton, with goals more certain than a one-sided result. Team news for Liverpool: Alexander Isak: out; Dominik Szoboszlai: doubt; Cody Gakpo: doubt; and 3 more. more from the desk, for members WWWLW  v  DWWWW 43% 2.10
Manchester United crestManchester United v Bournemouth, home · Premier League · Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · 14th v 17th The desk Man Utd's winless run meets Bournemouth's shaky away form, goals the safest line, a home win isn't. more from the desk, for members LDLDD  v  WWWLL 42% 2.15

Next weekend, for planning

31 October to 2 November

The 8 strongest sides next weekend are ranked for members.

The model's number and the price are free on every side. Members see the full ranking, next weekend's strongest sides and more from the desk where a game has been researched.

How to use it. Pick from the top, but think a week ahead: a side at 80%+ this weekend may be the one you need in three weeks. Never lean on a side away at a rival, and remember a draw puts you out as surely as a defeat. The number is the model's chance of an outright win, graded in public on the record. Analysis, not advice. 18+.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.