The model's calls, graded

Free to read. These are the model's form calls: a call makes this board when both teams' recent form agrees with the market it's calling, so it can be a different market from the call on the match page. It is locked and timestamped before kick-off and grades on the public record whatever happens. The singles we stake are a stricter subset: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs.

locked before kick-off evidence on every pick
Today's singlesThe stricter subset we stake, one unit each, graded in units.See today's singles

How to read a pick

The evidence line

landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 counts the two teams' last 12 games combined: home 5 of 6 is the home side's last six, away 6 of 6 the away side's.

The lock

Every pick shows when it was logged. Once locked it cannot be edited or quietly deleted; it grades into the record above win or lose.

The gate

Calls where the form disagrees with the model never reach this board, and since 24 August they are not counted in the record. Before that date every call counted.

On the board now

Locked, timestamped, grading next. Add a pick straight to your slip or open the fixture's builder.

Internacional v Corinthians
kick-off Wed 7 Oct, 23:30 · Brazilian Série A
Internacional or draw 1.25
away lost 5 of 6
the model's number: 76%, information, not a price
locked 4 Oct, 08:30 Build this bet
Remo v Gremio
kick-off Wed 7 Oct, 23:30 · Brazilian Série A
Remo or draw 1.31
home unbeaten in 6 of 6 · away lost 3 of 6
the model's number: 74%, information, not a price
locked 4 Oct, 08:30 Build this bet
Malaga v Espanyol
kick-off Fri 9 Oct, 20:00 · La Liga
Over 1.5 1.30
over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
the model's number: 75%, information, not a price
locked 6 Oct, 19:35 Build this bet
Cambridge United v Blackpool
kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · League One
Over 1.5 1.17
over 1.5 landed in 12 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
the model's number: 79%, information, not a price
locked 1 Oct, 22:57 Build this bet
Mansfield Town v Bromley
kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · League One
Over 1.5 1.17
over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
the model's number: 79%, information, not a price
locked 27 Sep, 22:54 Build this bet
Milton Keynes Dons v Reading
kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · League One
Over 1.5 1.16
over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 4 Oct, 22:53 Build this bet
Napoli v Frosinone
kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 · Serie A
Over 1.5 1.15
over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 25 Sep, 22:49 Build this bet
Southampton v Portsmouth
kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 · Championship
Over 1.5 1.15
over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 26 Sep, 22:46 Build this bet
Real Betis v Osasuna
kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 · La Liga
Over 1.5 1.18
over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
the model's number: 79%, information, not a price
locked 26 Sep, 22:46 Build this bet
Atalanta v Venezia
kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 17:30 · Serie A
Over 1.5 1.15
over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 27 Sep, 22:54 Build this bet
Everton v Chelsea
kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 · Premier League
Over 1.5 1.17
over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
the model's number: 79%, information, not a price
locked 2 Oct, 22:46 Build this bet
AS Roma v Genoa
kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 · Serie A
Over 1.5 1.14
over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 4 Oct, 22:53 Build this bet
Angers v Marseille
kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 · Ligue 1
Over 1.5 1.16
over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
the model's number: 80%+, information, not a price
locked 3 Oct, 22:46 Build this bet

Recently graded

The loop closing: the last board picks, the evidence they carried, and how they actually ended.

Every call the model made: 72% of 1068 graded calls landed. Information, not our singles.

Burton Albion v Huddersfield Landed 1-3 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Reading v Bradford Landed 1-1 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 3 of 6)
Leyton Orient v Plymouth Landed 0-2 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Gillingham v Newport County Lost 0-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Accrington ST v Cheltenham Landed 2-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Chesterfield v Tranmere Landed 4-2 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Salford City v Fleetwood Town Landed 1-0 Double Chance: Home/Draw Called on: home unbeaten in 5 of 6 · away lost 3 of 6
Salford City v Fleetwood Town Lost 1-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Rochdale v Swindon Town Lost 1-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 9 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Chesterfield v Tranmere Landed 4-2 Double Chance: Home/Draw Called on: home unbeaten in 5 of 6
Grimsby v Shrewsbury Landed 1-2 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Oldham v Salford City Landed 1-4 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 3 of 6)

Cup & proving-ground picks

Same model, same evidence receipts, from cup ties and leagues still earning their place. They are graded here, and counted separately until these leagues have enough games.

Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands Landed 2-2 Double Chance: Home/Draw Nations League Called on: home unbeaten in 5 of 6
Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands Lost 2-2 Under 2.5 Goals Nations League Called on: under 2.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 3 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Cordoba v Tenerife Landed 3-2 Over 1.5 Goals Spain Segunda Division Called on: over 1.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Cordoba v Tenerife Lost 3-2 Under 3.5 Goals Spain Segunda Division Called on: under 3.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Northern Ireland v Georgia Landed 0-0 Under 2.5 Goals Nations League Called on: under 2.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 6 of 6)
Romania v Sweden Lost 0-1 Over 2.5 Goals Nations League Called on: over 2.5 landed in 8 of the sides' last 12 games (home 4 of 6 · away 4 of 6)
Ukraine v Hungary Lost 1-2 Double Chance: Home/Draw Nations League Called on: home unbeaten in 6 of 6 · away lost 3 of 6
Ukraine v Hungary Landed 1-2 Over 1.5 Goals Nations League Called on: over 1.5 landed in 11 of the sides' last 12 games (home 6 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Montenegro v Armenia Lost 0-0 Over 1.5 Goals Nations League Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)
Bosnia & Herzegovina v Poland Lost 1-0 Over 1.5 Goals Nations League Called on: over 1.5 landed in 10 of the sides' last 12 games (home 5 of 6 · away 5 of 6)

Every one of these grades into the same public ledger: no cherry-picking, no deleted losses. The full history and filters live on the track record.

See the full track record Open the bet builder
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.