The Model Board: every pick carries its evidence

No tips without receipts. A pick only makes this board when both teams' recent form agrees with the market it's calling, it's locked and timestamped before kickoff, and it grades on the public record whatever happens. If the data is right, nobody can complain; if it's wrong, you'll see that too.

📈 70% over 808 graded picks 🔒 locked before kickoff 🧾 evidence on every pick

How to read a pick

The evidence line

agreed in 11/12 means the call landed in 11 of the two teams' last 12 games combined: home 5/6 is the home side's last six, away 6/6 the away side's.

The lock

Every pick shows when it was logged. Once locked it cannot be edited or quietly deleted; it grades into the record above win or lose.

The gate

Picks where the form disagrees with the model never reach this board. They still get graded internally, which is how the model keeps learning.

On the board now

Locked, timestamped, grading next. Add a pick straight to your slip or open the fixture's builder.

Le Havre vs Monaco Ligue 1

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 5/6)

Sun 23 Aug, 16:15 locked 22 Aug, 08:30 Build this bet →

Torino vs AC Milan Serie A

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 2/6 · away 6/6)

Sun 23 Aug, 19:45 locked 22 Aug, 21:22 Build this bet →

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Serie A

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 4/6)

Mon 24 Aug, 19:45 locked 21 Aug, 08:30 Build this bet →

Fulham vs Chelsea Premier League

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6)

Mon 24 Aug, 20:00 locked 20 Aug, 23:08 Build this bet →

Tottenham vs Newcastle Premier League

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 6/6)

Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 locked 21 Aug, 22:35 Build this bet →

Recently graded

The loop closing: the last board picks, the evidence they carried, and how they actually ended.

✅ Real Betis v Real Sociedad 1-0 Double Chance - Home/Draw Called on: home unbeaten in 4/6 · away lost 3/6

✅ Arsenal v Coventry 3-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6)

✅ Millwall v Norwich 3-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 7/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 4/6)

✅ QPR v Bolton 0-0 Double Chance - Home/Draw Called on: home unbeaten in 6/6 · away lost 1/6

✅ Derby v Cardiff 2-2 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 11/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 6/6)

❌ Salford City v Chesterfield 0-1 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 8/12 of the sides' recent games (home 6/6 · away 2/6)

✅ Exeter City v Accrington ST 2-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 7/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 3/6)

✅ Peterborough v Mansfield Town 2-1 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 3/6 · away 6/6)

❌ Doncaster v Barnsley 0-0 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 5/6)

✅ Luton v Notts County 2-2 Over 1.5 Goals Called on: over 1.5 agreed in 10/12 of the sides' recent games (home 5/6 · away 5/6)

✅ Inter v Monza 4-1 Home Win Called on: home won 3/6 · away won 3/6 and lost 2/6

Every one of these grades into the same public ledger: no cherry-picking, no deleted losses. The full history, filters and running P/L live on the track record.

See the full track record → Open the bet builder