La Liga predictions today
La Liga · 72% verified · 1,021 picksFree La Liga predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
Free La Liga predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
10 La Liga matches this week
The model's number is free on the next three games still to kick off. Behind this line: 7 more rows, a written card on 4 of them. Seven days for £1 opens every other row, the number and the call on each, and the desk's written card on the game: the pattern, who is missing, keep or kill.
Celta Vigo 17:30 the call, for members Racing Santander Sevilla 5th WWDLW 20:00 the call, for members Barcelona 1st WWWWWLa Liga is a tactically distinct league and our model treats it as one. Possession-heavy build-up, lower average goals per game than the Premier League or Bundesliga, and a much wider gulf between the top two and the rest than the table suggests on paper. We weight expected goals from the underlying-numbers feed more heavily here than for the Championship or League One because the data quality is genuinely higher. Every La Liga match has shot maps, pressure stats, set-piece detail. Below: every upcoming La Liga fixture in the next seven days, with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Real Madrid and Barcelona are over-modelled by the public. They ship value on the unders market more often than people expect, and we'll flag a value bet when our number disagrees with the conservative price by 8% or more. Each fixture page includes a full bookmaker odds comparison, head-to-head record, current form and the API-Football second-opinion blend. The 30-day La Liga accuracy callout below pulls live from our verified-outcomes ledger.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the La Liga, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept | Malaga vs Villarreal | Over 1.5 | 1-3 | Won |
| 17 Sept | Barcelona vs Racing Santander | Home win | 7-2 | Won |
| 16 Sept | Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | Over 1.5 | 4-0 | Won |
| 16 Sept | Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | Under 45 | 4-0 | Won |
| 16 Sept | Alaves vs Valencia | Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 15 Sept | Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | Over 1.5 | 0-3 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Levante vs Barcelona | Over 2.5 | 2-4 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | Under 45 | 0-3 | Won |
| 13 Sept | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | Over 2.5 | 4-1 | Won |
| 12 Sept | Athletic Club vs Elche | Under 45 | 1-1 | Won |
| 12 Sept | Athletic Club vs Elche | Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 12 Sept | Sevilla vs Valencia | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 12 Sept | Sevilla vs Valencia | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 7 Sept | Espanyol vs Sevilla | Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
30-day La Liga accuracy is published live in the callout above the matches grid. We log every La Liga prediction to a verified-outcomes ledger and the hit rate updates with each settled fixture.
We weight expected-goals data more heavily for La Liga than the Premier League because the underlying-numbers feed is genuinely higher quality: every match has shot maps, pressure stats and set-piece detail.
Frequently, yes, particularly on the unders market. The public over-rates the goals-per-game contribution of the top two and our model flags value on the under 2.5 side in their mid-table fixtures more than any other top-five league.
Copa del Rey fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day window. Like the FA Cup we treat early rounds (squad rotation likely) separately from the quarter-finals onwards (full-strength assumed).
The over/under 2.5 goals market. La Liga's tactical setup is more consistent than the Premier League's, which means goals expectancy is more predictable from underlying numbers.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Our coverage at the moment is the Spanish top flight only.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate La Liga predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.