Free La Liga predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
10 La Liga matches this week
the model's favourite Sevilla 47% 1.95
Over 2.5 41% at 2.20 · Both to score 44%
the model's favourite Racing Santander 41% 2.75
Over 2.5 60% at 1.67 · Both to score 56%
the model's favourite Espanyol 42% 2.20
Over 2.5 49% at 2.00 · Both to score 48%
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
the model's favourite Athletic Club 48% 2.15
Over 2.5 42% at 2.10 · Both to score 52%
the model's favourite Real Madrid 70% 1.30
Over 2.5 63% at 1.40 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Real Betis 47% 2.10
Over 2.5 57% at 1.67 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Real Sociedad 54% 1.67
Over 2.5 60% at 1.67 · Both to score 58%
the model's favourite Villarreal 65% 1.44
Over 2.5 51% at 1.80 · Both to score 50%
the model's favourite Celta Vigo 49% 1.75
Over 2.5 53% at 1.80 · Both to score 49%
the model's favourite Barcelona 51% 1.85
Over 2.5 73% at 1.36 · Both to score 73%
La Liga is a tactically distinct league and our model treats it as one. Possession-heavy build-up, lower average goals per game than the Premier League or Bundesliga, and a much wider gulf between the top two and the rest than the table suggests on paper. We weight expected goals from the underlying-numbers feed more heavily here than for the Championship or League One because the data quality is genuinely higher. Every La Liga match has shot maps, pressure stats, set-piece detail. Below: every upcoming La Liga fixture in the next seven days, with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Real Madrid and Barcelona draw the public's money, and their games are often tighter than the price suggests. Each fixture page includes the best price across the books we track, the head-to-head record and current form. Every call the model makes here is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the La Liga, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov |
 
Athletic Club
v
Real Sociedad
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 2-1 | Won |
| 27 Oct |
 
Sevilla
v
Osasuna
Home/Draw
|
Home/Draw | 2-0 | Won |
| 19 Oct |
Real Madrid
v
Sevilla
Home win
|
Home win | 4-1 | Won |
| 18 Oct |
Osasuna
v
Racing Santander
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-0 | Won |
| 17 Oct |
 
Espanyol
v
Atletico Madrid
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 13 Oct |
Levante
v
Sevilla
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 3-3 | Won |
| 12 Oct |
Racing Santander
v
Valencia
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
Real Betis
v
Osasuna
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 5-2 | Won |
| 11 Oct |
 
Elche
v
Celta Vigo
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 10 Oct |
Alaves
v
Atletico Madrid
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-2 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
 
Barcelona
v
Getafe
Home win
|
Home win | 3-0 | Won |
| 10 Oct |
Malaga
v
Espanyol
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 21 Sep |
Valencia
v
Real Sociedad
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 2-3 | Won |
| 20 Sep |
Deportivo La Coruna
v
Real Betis
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep |
Celta Vigo
v
Racing Santander
Over 1.5
|
Over 1.5 | 5-0 | Won |
Every La Liga call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page.
We weight expected-goals data more heavily for La Liga than the Premier League because the underlying-numbers feed is genuinely higher quality: every match has shot maps, pressure stats and set-piece detail.
No favourite is safe. Their games against mid-table sides are often tighter than the public expects, and the model's number sits beside every price so you can see where it and the market differ.
Copa del Rey fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day window. Like the FA Cup we treat early rounds (squad rotation likely) separately from the quarter-finals onwards (full-strength assumed).
The over/under 2.5 goals market. La Liga's tactical setup is more consistent than the Premier League's, which means goals expectancy is more predictable from underlying numbers.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Our coverage at the moment is the Spanish top flight only.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce La Liga predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
