Czechia crestSpain crest

Czechia v Spain bet builder

Thursday 12 November 2026, 19:45 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Spain to win

    75% the model

    Our board prices this at 75%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.34 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 4.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 70% chance all land
1.43

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Czechia v Spain, 70% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Spain (first half) First Half 68% 1.40 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.54 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Lamine Yamal Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Lamine Yamal: 1.32 shots on target a game over 28 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Mikel Oyarzabal: 1.06 shots on target a game over 34 games [WC form: 2.23/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • Álex Grimaldo Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Álex Grimaldo: 0.74 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
    Anytime scorer

    Mikel Oyarzabal: 0.44 goals a game over 34 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 41%
    Corners: Czechia avg 2.0 for/5.6 against, Spain avg 6.2 for/2.3 against so expected 8.0 match corners
  • Over 5.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Czechia avg 2.0 for/5.6 against, Spain avg 6.2 for/2.3 against so expected 8.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 36%
    Cards: Czechia avg 2.2/game, Spain avg 0.8/game so expected 3.0 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Czechia avg 2.2/game, Spain avg 0.8/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 51%
    Fouls: Czechia avg 11.4/game, Spain avg 11.4/game so expected 22.8 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Czechia avg 11.4/game, Spain avg 11.4/game so expected 22.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 16%
    Shots: Czechia avg 5.3/game, Spain avg 13.0/game so expected 18.3 match shots

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 80% market 1xBet
    1.25 +
  • Under 4 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Spain to win the second half 76% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Over 1 first half goals 74% market 1xBet
    1.35 +
  • Spain leading at half time 71% market 1xBet
    1.40 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 69% market 1xBet
    1.45 +
  • Both teams to score: No 68% market 1xBet
    1.47 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.