Portugal v Denmark bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.11 +
Portugal or draw
80%+ the modelThe pre-match read for this game is double chance, Portugal or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Portugal v Denmark, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Portugal Home Win 65% 1.34 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.51 +
- Portugal (first half) First Half 57% 1.73 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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João Félix PortugalShots on target 1+
João Félix: 1.59 shots on target a game over 32 games [WC form: 0.67/90 over 2 games (134 min), 24% weight
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J. Trenskow DenmarkShots on target 1+
J. Trenskow: 1.18 shots on target a game over 34 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Bruno Fernandes PortugalShots on target 1+
Bruno Fernandes: 0.69 shots on target a game over 35 games [WC form: 1.00/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight
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Trincão PortugalShots on target 1+
Trincão: 0.70 shots on target a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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R. Højlund DenmarkShots on target 1+
R. Højlund: 0.76 shots on target a game over 33 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Jørgensen DenmarkShots on target 1+
T. Jørgensen: 0.71 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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João Félix PortugalShots on target 2+
João Félix: 1.59 shots on target a game over 32 games [WC form: 0.67/90 over 2 games (134 min), 24% weight
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Bruno Fernandes PortugalAnytime assist
Bruno Fernandes on 0.60 assists/match (35 apps, 137 key passes) [WC form: 0.50/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight
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C. Eriksen DenmarkShots on target 1+
C. Eriksen: 0.48 shots on target a game over 33 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Under 2 first half goals 81% market 1xBet1.23 +
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Under 4 goals 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Over 1 second half goals 80% market 1xBet1.25 +
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Portugal to win 75% market 1xBet1.34 +
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Over 1 first half goals 73% market 1xBet1.37 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.