FIFA World Cup predictions
FIFA World Cup · 72% verified · 1,021 picksThe FIFA World Cup season is done. Predictions return when fixtures are published.
The FIFA World Cup season is done. Predictions return when fixtures are published.
World Cup predictions sit on a knife edge between absurd public bias and genuinely-strong underlying-numbers data. Every match in the tournament has full xG coverage, every starting XI is announced with a full press cycle, but the public is buying with the heart. Major-name nations are routinely over-priced as favourites even when our model has them as marginal. We split the group stage and knockouts: in the group, our model bias is towards the unders market (cagey openings, tactical caution) and the lesser-named nation cover. In the knockouts, defensive setups tighten further. Below: every confirmed World Cup fixture with our probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page includes the bookmaker odds comparison, head-to-head record and recent form. The 30-day accuracy callout below is most useful when the tournament is live. Outside the window it may hide if volume is thin.
How every team finished, last 5 league results per team from the season just completed. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
How often each market has landed in the FIFA World Cup, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
Our AI model logs every pick before kick-off with a public, verified record, 1021 settled predictions graded win or loss. That record is historical and does not predict future results.
Rated FIFA World Cup predictions return here the moment the new season is priced. Follow your team now and we will email our model read on their first game.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Spain vs Argentina | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 20 Jul | Spain vs Argentina | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 19 Jul | France vs England | Home/Away | 4-6 | Won |
| 19 Jul | France vs England | Home/Draw | 4-6 | Lost |
| 12 Jul | Norway vs England | Home/Away | 1-2 | Won |
| 11 Jul | Spain vs Belgium | Home/Away | 2-1 | Won |
| 5 Jul | Paraguay vs France | Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 4 Jul | Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | Over 1.5 | 3-2 | Won |
| 2 Jul | Belgium vs Senegal | Home/Draw | 3-2 | Won |
| 1 Jul | England vs Congo DR | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 29 Jun | South Africa vs Canada | Home/Away | 0-1 | Won |
| 29 Jun | South Africa vs Canada | Away win | 0-1 | Won |
| 28 Jun | Algeria vs Austria | Double chance away draw | 3-3 | Won |
| 28 Jun | Colombia vs Portugal | Home/Away | 0-0 | Lost |
| 28 Jun | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan | Home win | 3-1 | Won |
30-day World Cup accuracy is published in the callout above the matches grid during tournament periods. Outside the tournament the stat hides. The World Cup runs only every four years.
Every World Cup match has full xG coverage and confirmed starting XIs, but the public is buying with the heart. Major-name nations are routinely over-priced as favourites. We split group-stage and knockout regimes.
Under 2.5 in the group stage has historically delivered our steadier hit rate: cagey openings and tactical caution from teams not yet through means goals expectancy is over-rated by the public.
Statistically the knockout stage is harder to model because tactical setups tighten further and the underdog cover rate increases. We're more cautious with banker calls in the knockouts.
Qualifiers are covered on /predictions/wc-qualifiers-europe. Friendlies are not part of our coverage.
Yes, during tournament periods our Saturday accumulator pulls heavily from World Cup fixtures when available.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate FIFA World Cup predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.