Norway crestWales crest

Norway v Wales bet builder

Saturday 14 November 2026, 17:00 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Wales or draw

    31% the model

    Our board prices this at 31%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    3.28 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 23% chance all land
4.30

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Norway v Wales, 23% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
  • Norway Home Win 68% 1.21 +
  • Norway (first half) First Half 62% 1.56 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.63 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • E. Haaland Norway
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Haaland: 1.69 shots on target a game over 35 games [WC form: 3.41/90 over 2 games (185 min), 31% weight

  • E. Haaland Norway
    Shots on target 2+

    E. Haaland: 1.69 shots on target a game over 35 games [WC form: 3.41/90 over 2 games (185 min), 31% weight

  • E. Haaland Norway
    Anytime scorer

    E. Haaland: 0.77 goals a game over 35 games [WC form: 1.95/90 over 2 games (185 min), 31% weight

  • K. Moore Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Moore: 0.74 shots on target a game over 39 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Wilson Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Wilson: 0.69 shots on target a game over 36 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Thorstvedt Norway
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Thorstvedt: 0.41 shots on target a game over 32 games [WC form: 1.34/90 over 2 games (67 min), 14% weight

  • O. Bjørtuft Norway
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Bjørtuft: 0.50 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. James Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    J. James: 0.59 shots on target a game over 34 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Østigård Norway
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Østigård: 0.40 shots on target a game over 30 games [WC form: 0.70/90 over 3 games (129 min), 23% weight

  • S. Thomas Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Thomas: 0.56 shots on target a game over 45 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Berg Norway
    Anytime assist

    P. Berg on 0.43 assists/match (28 apps, 76 key passes) [WC form: 0.60/90 over 3 games (149 min), 26% weight

  • N. Williams Wales
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Williams: 0.51 shots on target a game over 37 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Berg Norway
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Berg: 0.54 shots on target a game over 28 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (149 min), 26% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1 second half goals 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Norway to win 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 first half goals 76% market 1xBet
    1.31 +
  • Under 4 goals 75% market 1xBet
    1.33 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 72% market 1xBet
    1.39 +
  • Norway to win the second half 68% market 1xBet
    1.47 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.