How accurate is Football Bet Builder?

Across all logged, graded predictions it holds a publicly verified hit rate around 70%. Accuracy varies by market: Draw No Bet (Home) is about 89%, Double Chance (Home/Draw) about 86%, and Over 1.5 Goals about 76%, while coin-flip markets like Both Teams To Score sit near 55%. Every figure is the real record from predictions logged before kick-off and is downloadable as CSV.

Are Football Bet Builder's accuracy claims independently verifiable?

Yes. Unlike most tipster sites, every prediction is timestamped before the match and graded against the actual outcome, with losses published alongside wins. The complete history is public and exportable, so the accuracy figure can be checked rather than taken on trust.

Which football markets is Football Bet Builder most accurate at?

Its strongest verified markets are Draw No Bet (Home) around 89%, Double Chance (Home/Draw) around 86%, and Over 1.5 Goals around 76%. These are the markets it features. Weaker markets such as Both Teams To Score (about 55%) are shown too, in the interest of transparency.

Live proof · Updated with every verified outcome

Live Model Performance

Name: Football Bet Builder verified prediction accuracy by market
Creator: Football Bet Builder
License: https://footballbetbuilder.co.uk/about

Transparent tracking of our prediction accuracy - updated with every verified outcome

Full Track Record → Verified Results Methodology

529-237

Win-Loss Record

69%

Hit Rate

154

Awaiting Results

Bet Types

Verified Results

529W - 237L (69% hit rate)

Match	League	Prediction	Result	Verified
Spain vs Argentina 1-0	World Cup	Double Chance - Home/Draw 75.0%	WIN	20 Jul
Spain vs Argentina 1-0	World Cup	Over 1.5 Goals 71.2%	LOSS	20 Jul
France vs England 4-6	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 78.3%	WIN	19 Jul
France vs England 4-6	World Cup	Double Chance - Home/Draw 77.5%	LOSS	19 Jul
Norway vs England 1-2	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 77.2%	WIN	12 Jul
Spain vs Belgium 2-1	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 78.3%	WIN	11 Jul
Paraguay vs France 0-1	World Cup	Over 1.5 Goals 77.8%	LOSS	5 Jul
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands 3-2	World Cup	Over 1.5 Goals 77.8%	WIN	4 Jul
Belgium vs Senegal 3-2	World Cup	Double Chance - Home/Draw 74.4%	WIN	2 Jul
England vs Congo DR 2-1	World Cup	Over 1.5 Goals 72.8%	WIN	1 Jul
South Africa vs Canada 0-1	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 75.5%	WIN	29 Jun
South Africa vs Canada 0-1	World Cup	Away Win 54.7%	WIN	29 Jun
Algeria vs Austria 3-3	World Cup	Double Chance - Away/Draw 77.2%	WIN	28 Jun
Colombia vs Portugal 0-0	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 77.2%	LOSS	28 Jun
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan 3-1	World Cup	Home Win 54.4%	WIN	28 Jun
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan 3-1	World Cup	Double Chance - No Draw 77.2%	WIN	28 Jun
Colombia vs Portugal 0-0	World Cup	Away Win 47.5%	LOSS	28 Jun
Jordan vs Argentina 1-3	World Cup	Away Win 74.4%	WIN	28 Jun
Croatia vs Ghana 2-1	World Cup	Double Chance - Home/Draw 83.4%	WIN	28 Jun
Panama vs England 0-2	World Cup	Over 2.5 Goals 68.3%	LOSS	28 Jun

Accuracy by Market

Hit rate for each bet type across all verified predictions.

Market	Record	Hit Rate	Status
Home Win	119W - 56L	68%	High
Over 2.5 Goals	84W - 59L	59%	Medium
Over 1.5 Goals	98W - 33L	75%	High
Under 2.5 Goals	77W - 47L	62%	High
Double Chance - Home/Draw	95W - 10L	90%	High
BTTS Yes	45W - 46L	49%	Medium
Draw No Bet - Home	61W - 10L	86%	High
BTTS No	27W - 28L	49%	Medium
Away Win	26W - 23L	53%	Medium
Over 3.5 Goals	11W - 35L	24%	Low
Under 3.5 Goals	31W - 14L	69%	High
Double Chance - No Draw	18W - 14L	56%	Medium
Double Chance - Away/Draw	12W - 1L	92%	High
Draw No Bet - Away	8W - 2L	80%	High
First Half - Draw	0W - 1L	0%	Low
Draw	1W - 0L	100%	High
First Half - Home	0W - 1L	0%	Low

60%+ - High hit rate

45-60% - Medium hit rate

Below 45% - Low hit rate

Hit rate only. A high hit rate at short odds can still lose money, and a lower one at bigger prices can profit — these bands rank how often a market lands, not its value.

Recent Performance by Market

69% recent hit rate

Up to the latest 100 settled predictions from each market: 694 selections analysed

Hit rate from each market's most recent 100 verified predictions. Trend compares recent form to all-time average.

Market	Sample	Record	Hit Rate	Trend
Home Win	100	69W - 31L	69%	Stable
Over 2.5 Goals	96	59W - 37L	61%	Stable
Over 1.5 Goals	92	72W - 20L	78%	+3%
Under 2.5 Goals	91	54W - 37L	59%	Stable
Double Chance - Home/Draw	71	64W - 7L	90%	Stable
Draw No Bet - Home	64	56W - 8L	88%	Stable
BTTS Yes	58	31W - 27L	53%	+4%
Away Win	49	26W - 23L	53%	Stable
Under 3.5 Goals	22	13W - 9L	59%	-10%
Double Chance - No Draw	15	11W - 4L	73%	+17%
Double Chance - Away/Draw	12	11W - 1L	92%	Stable
BTTS No	11	6W - 5L	55%	+5%
Draw No Bet - Away	10	8W - 2L	80%	Stable
Draw	1	1W - 0L	100%	--
First Half - Draw	1	0W - 1L	0%	--
First Half - Home	1	0W - 1L	0%	--

Most Predictable Leagues

Which leagues our model predicts most accurately.

#	League	Record	Hit Rate	Sample
1	Ligue 1	46W - 11L	81%	57
2	Bundesliga	63W - 17L	79%	80
3	World Cup	28W - 8L	78%	36
4	Champions League	26W - 9L	74%	35
5	League Two	69W - 30L	70%	99
6	La Liga	47W - 21L	69%	68
7	Premier League	75W - 37L	67%	112
8	Championship	81W - 42L	66%	123
9	League One	57W - 37L	61%	94
10	Serie A	37W - 25L	60%	62

Why We Track This

Most betting tools are black boxes - you have no idea if their predictions are accurate. We believe in transparency. By tracking every prediction against actual outcomes, you can:

See exactly how well our model performs across different markets
Identify which bet types have the best calibration
Trust that we're continuously improving based on real data
Make informed decisions about which predictions to follow

Learn How Our Model Works

Last updated: 2026-08-04 15:37

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