Italy v France bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.28 +
France or draw
78% the modelOur board prices this at 78%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Italy v France, 69% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.51 +
- Italy or Draw Double Chance 54% 1.83 +
- France Away Win 53% 1.80 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Kylian Mbappé FranceShots on target 1+
Kylian Mbappé: 2.03 shots on target a game over 31 games [WC form: 3.05/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight
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Kylian Mbappé FranceShots on target 2+
Kylian Mbappé: 2.03 shots on target a game over 31 games [WC form: 3.05/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight
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E. Lepaul FranceShots on target 1+
E. Lepaul: 1.19 shots on target a game over 32 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zoma ItalyShots on target 1+
M. Zoma: 0.83 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Doumbia ItalyShots on target 1+
I. Doumbia: 0.79 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Kylian Mbappé FranceAnytime scorer
Kylian Mbappé: 0.81 goals a game over 31 games [WC form: 1.35/90 over 3 games (266 min), 39% weight
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R. Mandragora ItalyShots on target 1+
R. Mandragora: 0.53 shots on target a game over 34 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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France or Draw (double chance) 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Under 4 goals 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Under 2 first half goals 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Over 1 second half goals 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Over 1 first half goals 74% market 1xBet1.36 +
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Over 2.5 goals 68% market 1xBet1.47 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 68% market 1xBet1.47 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.