Ligue 1 predictions today
Ligue 1 · 72% verified · 1,040 picksFree Ligue 1 predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
Free Ligue 1 predictions: the call our model makes on every fixture, the best price beside it, logged before kick-off and graded on the public record, misses included.
3 Ligue 1 matches this week
Ligue 1 since the PSG dominance softened has been one of the more model-friendly leagues in Europe. Goals-per-game sits in the middle of the top-five distribution, the underlying-numbers feed is high-quality, and the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four. We treat PSG matches separately from the rest of the league because the BTTS market consistently misprices them. Public bias is towards backing both teams to score regardless of the opposition. Below: every upcoming Ligue 1 fixture in the next seven days, with model probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page shows the full odds comparison, current form, head-to-head and the API-Football second opinion. The 30-day accuracy callout below pulls live from our verified-outcomes ledger and hides when the sample dips below ten settled picks.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
This season's leading scorers. Tap a name for full stats and anytime-scorer form.
How often each market has landed in the Ligue 1, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sept | Paris FC vs Strasbourg | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 14 Sept | Le Mans vs Lens | Over 2.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 13 Sept | Paris FC vs Lyon | Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 13 Sept | Paris FC vs Lyon | Under 45 | 0-0 | Won |
| 13 Sept | Le Havre vs Angers | Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 12 Sept | Strasbourg vs Monaco | Over 1.5 | 1-1 | Won |
| 7 Sept | Marseille vs Paris FC | Over 1.5 | 2-3 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Angers vs Rennes | Over 1.5 | 1-2 | Won |
| 6 Sept | Nice vs Le Mans | Home/Draw | 1-1 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Lens vs Lorient | Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 5 Sept | Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco | Over 2.5 | 1-2 | Won |
| 5 Sept | Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco | Under 45 | 1-2 | Won |
| 4 Sept | Lyon vs Auxerre | Over 1.5 | 3-1 | Won |
| 4 Sept | Lyon vs Auxerre | Under 45 | 3-1 | Won |
| 4 Sept | Toulouse vs Lille | Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
30-day Ligue 1 accuracy is published live above the matches grid. Ligue 1 has been one of our more model-friendly leagues since the post-PSG-dominance era softened.
Public bias is strongly towards backing both teams to score in any PSG match regardless of opposition. Our model treats PSG fixtures separately from the rest of Ligue 1 because of that mispricing.
Yes, the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the French top flight only at present.
Coupe de France fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day forward window, treated with the standard rotation-aware cup logic we apply to FA Cup and Coppa Italia early rounds.
Match-result calls on the favourite have historically been Ligue 1's strongest market. Goals markets carry more variance here than in the Bundesliga or Eredivisie.
Our model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate Ligue 1 predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.