Ligue 1 since the PSG dominance softened has been one of the more model-friendly leagues in Europe. Goals-per-game sits in the middle of the top-five distribution, the underlying-numbers feed is high-quality, and the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four. We treat PSG matches separately from the rest of the league because the BTTS market consistently misprices them. Public bias is towards backing both teams to score regardless of the opposition. Below: every upcoming Ligue 1 fixture in the next seven days, with model probabilities for match result, BTTS and over/under 2.5 goals. Each fixture page shows the full odds comparison, current form, head-to-head and the API-Football second opinion. The 30-day accuracy callout below pulls live from our verified-outcomes ledger and hides when the sample dips below ten settled picks.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
How often each market has landed in the Ligue 1, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
11 days until the Ligue 1 season returns, Saturday 15 August 2026.
Our AI model logs every pick before kick-off with a public, verified record, 766 settled predictions graded win or loss. That record is historical and does not predict future results.
Rated Ligue 1 predictions return here the moment the new season is priced. Follow your team now and we will email our model read on their first game.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Nice vs Metz | Draw no bet home | 0-0 | ✔ |
| 13 May | Brest vs Strasbourg | Over 1.5 | 1-2 | ✔ |
| 4 May | Lyon vs Rennes | BTTS Yes | 4-2 | ✔ |
| 3 May | Lille vs Le Havre | Home win | 1-1 | ✗ |
| 27 Apr | Marseille vs Nice | Over 2.5 | 1-1 | ✗ |
| 26 Apr | Rennes vs Nantes | Draw no bet home | 2-1 | ✔ |
| 26 Apr | Le Havre vs Metz | Home win | 4-4 | ✗ |
| 26 Apr | Paris FC vs Lille | Over 2.5 | 0-1 | ✗ |
| 26 Apr | Rennes vs Nantes | Home win | 2-1 | ✔ |
| 26 Apr | Lorient vs Strasbourg | BTTS Yes | 2-3 | ✔ |
| 25 Apr | Angers vs Paris Saint Germain | Away win | 0-3 | ✔ |
| 25 Apr | Angers vs Paris Saint Germain | Double chance away draw | 0-3 | ✔ |
| 25 Apr | Lyon vs Auxerre | Over 1.5 | 3-2 | ✔ |
| 25 Apr | Lyon vs Auxerre | Home win | 3-2 | ✔ |
| 25 Apr | Brest vs RC Lens | Draw no bet away | 3-3 | ✔ |
30-day Ligue 1 accuracy is published live above the matches grid. Ligue 1 has been one of our more model-friendly leagues since the post-PSG-dominance era softened.
Public bias is strongly towards backing both teams to score in any PSG match regardless of opposition. Our model treats PSG fixtures separately from the rest of Ligue 1 because of that mispricing.
Yes, the gap between the title contenders and the relegation scrap is wide enough that the favourite hits more often than in any league apart from the Bundesliga top four.
Not on a dedicated page yet. Coverage is the French top flight only at present.
Coupe de France fixtures appear when scheduled inside our seven-day forward window, treated with the standard rotation-aware cup logic we apply to FA Cup and Coppa Italia early rounds.
Match-result calls on the favourite have historically been Ligue 1's strongest market. Goals markets carry more variance here than in the Bundesliga or Eredivisie.
Our AI-powered model analyses odds from 19+ bookmakers to generate Ligue 1 predictions. We use the most conservative odds from traditional bookmakers (excluding exchanges) to calculate probabilities, giving you the most realistic view of each match. All predictions include match result, BTTS, over/under goals, and more.