The daily sheet
Written aheadMonday 21 September · locked before kick-off, graded after · the record
The measured board
How the rule works
One rule, applied to the whole card, and only what it allows. Each side's last six completed games, twelve in all. Over goal lines priced 1.35 or better with at least four bookmakers quoting, kept only where those twelve games cleared the line nine times or more. Highest count wins, ties go to the longer price, one leg per fixture.
Every other lane on this sheet is a judgement with its evidence attached. This one is a rule. It was tested against past results before it was published, it reads the same card as the lanes below, and every decision it made against the rest of that card is listed underneath.
Break-even is the share of bets the price has to land to come out level. It sits beside the count so you can hold the two up against each other.
Nothing qualified in the staked lane today.
Nothing qualified in the experiment lane today.
The folds
Built from the legs above and from nothing else. A double and a treble, never longer: every leg you add multiplies the bookmaker's cut, and a single leg standing alone is the worst shape we have measured.
Other sheets 13
The model board and the graded record