The daily sheet
This is the last sheet written. The sheet for today is written at 08:30, once the board is priced and the desk has read it.
Thursday 17 September · locked before kick-off, graded after · the record
The two most likely to land 1.41x
Pro
Chosen for probability of landing, not price. One leg per game.
The three legs on today's card most likely to land, model and research together, one per game. Together they land about 64 times in a hundred at 1.41. Each on its own is the surest market on its game.
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19 the research, free, because it lost
Over 1.5 agreed in 9/12 of the sides' recent games (home 4/6 · away 5/6). At 1.19 it has to land 84 times in a hundred, so the form is behind what the price asks.
Why it lost: Salzburg's single goal stood alone as Levski failed to score, leaving the match under the 1.5 line despite the recent scoring trend.
The desk's acca 2.66x
Pro
The research desk: a card written on every fixture this morning
The model proposes, the desk reads the game and can veto. Both had to agree.
One from each sector 2.21x
Pro
The best call in each market, combined
2 legs at 2.21. Every leg you add multiplies the bookmaker's cut, so this stops at four however many sectors have something worth backing.
Refused today 5 refused
What we refused today, and why. Kill outcomes grade too, including the ones we get wrong.
The days ahead3 days
What the board has already locked for the 3 days ahead. Provisional, re-priced every morning.
Other sheets 13
The model board and the graded record