The daily sheet

Athletic Club to win at 1.42 the research, free, because it lost

Athletic sit 10th and Elche 19th; the pack shows Athletic's last 5 as W W L L L against Elche's L L L D D, and Elche's away form reads L D D L. Web sources add that Athletic have won their last two matches without conceding, while Elche arrive on a run of three straight defeats.

Why it lost: Elche's three-match losing run ended with a draw away, and Athletic's shutout streak broke as the 1-1 scoreline shows neither side found a winner.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 the research, free, because it lost

Model rates this 67% against an implied 65.8% at 1.52, a real if narrow edge. Boreham Wood arrive on five straight wins (W W W W W) and Eastleigh's own last five (L D W W L) has produced goals both ways; the model's Under 4.5 sits at 77% but that price (1.22) is unplayable, so 2.5 is the workable line.

Why it lost: Boreham Wood's five-win run met an Eastleigh side that only drew, and the goals both teams had shown elsewhere never arrived here, finishing 1-1.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.54 the research, free, because it lost

Same scoring pattern underpins this: last H2H was 5-4, and both teams' recent form (Strasbourg W W L W W, Monaco W W W) shows no sign of a low-event game.

Why it lost: Both sides scored as expected but neither could add more, with the H2H and form pointing to goals that never fully materialised beyond one each.