AS Roma crestSassuolo crest

AS Roma v Sassuolo bet builder

Saturday 7 November 2026, 19:45 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • AS Roma to win

    66% the model

    Record this market has landed 71% across 199 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 66%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.53 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 4.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 61% chance all land
1.63

The model puts this 2-leg build at 61% combined for AS Roma v Sassuolo. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
  • AS Roma (first half) First Half 58% 1.74 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.71 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Soulé: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Berardi Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Berardi: 1.13 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    Vasilije Adžić: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Laurienté Sassuolo
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Laurienté: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Soulé AS Roma
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Soulé: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Pisilli AS Roma
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Pisilli: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.8 for/4.1 against, Sassuolo avg 3.5 for/5.3 against so expected 9.4 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: AS Roma avg 5.8 for/4.1 against, Sassuolo avg 3.5 for/5.3 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 48%
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.8/game, Sassuolo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.6 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: AS Roma avg 1.8/game, Sassuolo avg 1.8/game so expected 3.6 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 41%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 11.7/game, Sassuolo avg 9.9/game so expected 21.6 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 74%
    Fouls: AS Roma avg 11.7/game, Sassuolo avg 9.9/game so expected 21.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 77%
    Shots: AS Roma avg 16.6/game, Sassuolo avg 14.1/game so expected 30.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: AS Roma avg 16.6/game, Sassuolo avg 14.1/game so expected 30.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • AS Roma under 3.5 goals 82% market BetVictor
    1.22 +
  • Sassuolo under 1.5 goals 82% market BetVictor
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • AS Roma over 1.5 goals 76% market BetVictor
    1.33 +
  • AS Roma to win 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 4 goals 74% market BetVictor
    1.37 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.50 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.