Cagliari crestFrosinone crest

Cagliari v Frosinone bet builder

Saturday 7 November 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Frosinone or Draw

    68% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    The outright win sits at only 45%, so we take the safer Double Chance (68%) covering the same side.

    1.47 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 60% chance all land
1.68

The model puts this 2-leg build at 60% combined for Cagliari v Frosinone. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.24 +
  • Cagliari or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.56 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.58 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • A. Raimondo Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Raimondo: 1.22 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Ghedjemis Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Ghedjemis: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Calò Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Calò: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mendy Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Mendy: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Maldini Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Maldini: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Kvernadze Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Kvernadze: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Romano Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Romano: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Bracaglia Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Bracaglia: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Adopo Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Adopo: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Schmid Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Schmid: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.44/90 over 3 games (206 min), 33% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: Cagliari avg 4.0 for/5.1 against, Frosinone avg 6.4 for/6.6 against so expected 11.1 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Cagliari avg 4.0 for/5.1 against, Frosinone avg 6.4 for/6.6 against so expected 11.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%
    Cards: Cagliari avg 1.7/game, Frosinone avg 1.7/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Cagliari avg 1.7/game, Frosinone avg 1.7/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 57%
    Fouls: Cagliari avg 11.4/game, Frosinone avg 14.1/game so expected 25.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Cagliari avg 11.4/game, Frosinone avg 14.1/game so expected 25.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Cagliari avg 10.9/game, Frosinone avg 19.3/game so expected 30.2 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Cagliari avg 10.9/game, Frosinone avg 19.3/game so expected 30.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Cagliari over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 83% market BetVictor
    1.25 +
  • Frosinone under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Cagliari or Frosinone (double chance) 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Frosinone over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Cagliari under 2 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.34 +
  • Frosinone or Draw (double chance) 71% market William Hill
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.