Sevilla crestAlaves crest

Sevilla v Alaves bet builder

Friday 6 November 2026, 20:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Sevilla or draw

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 322 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.32 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land
1.73

The model puts this 2-leg build at 58% combined for Sevilla v Alaves. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 73% 1.38 +
  • Alaves or Draw Double Chance 57% 1.81 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • L. Boyé Alaves
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Boyé: 1.11 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Y. Fofana Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Fofana: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Miguel Ángel Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Miguel Ángel: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Kike Salas Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Kike Salas: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Angel Pérez Alaves
    Shots on target 1+

    Angel Pérez: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Juan Iglesias Sevilla
    Shots on target 1+

    Juan Iglesias: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 27%
    Corners: Sevilla avg 3.1 for/3.0 against, Alaves avg 3.9 for/4.0 against so expected 7.0 match corners
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 51%
    Cards: Sevilla avg 2.9/game, Alaves avg 1.8/game so expected 4.7 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Sevilla avg 2.9/game, Alaves avg 1.8/game so expected 4.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 55%
    Fouls: Sevilla avg 12.2/game, Alaves avg 13.2/game so expected 25.4 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Sevilla avg 12.2/game, Alaves avg 13.2/game so expected 25.4 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 30%
    Shots: Sevilla avg 8.9/game, Alaves avg 11.4/game so expected 20.3 match shots
  • Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sevilla avg 8.9/game, Alaves avg 11.4/game so expected 20.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Sevilla over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Sevilla or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Alaves under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Sevilla under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Under 10.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Sevilla under 6.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Sevilla or Alaves (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Over 6.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • Under 3 goals 76% market BetVictor
    1.33 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.