Malaga v Racing Santander bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.58 +
Racing Santander or draw
63% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 63%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 55% combined for Malaga v Racing Santander. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.21 +
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.20 +
- Malaga or Draw Double Chance 72% 1.42 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.49 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Zabiri Racing SantanderShots on target 1+
M. Zabiri: 1.30 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Andrés Martín Racing SantanderShots on target 1+
Andrés Martín: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Chupe MalagaShots on target 1+
Chupe: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Sergio Canales Racing SantanderShots on target 1+
Sergio Canales: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Jorge Salinas Racing SantanderTo be carded
Jorge Salinas (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10
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M. Zabiri Racing SantanderAnytime scorer
M. Zabiri: 0.80 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 0.30 a game
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Pablo Martínez MalagaShots on target 1+
Pablo Martínez: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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David Larrubia MalagaShots on target 1+
David Larrubia: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: Malaga avg 5.3 for/5.1 against, Racing Santander avg 5.0 for/7.6 against so expected 11.5 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Malaga avg 5.3 for/5.1 against, Racing Santander avg 5.0 for/7.6 against so expected 11.5 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Malaga avg 2.1/game, Racing Santander avg 2.7/game so expected 4.9 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Malaga avg 2.1/game, Racing Santander avg 2.7/game so expected 4.9 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Malaga avg 11.6/game, Racing Santander avg 13.1/game so expected 24.7 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Malaga avg 11.6/game, Racing Santander avg 13.1/game so expected 24.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 49%Shots: Malaga avg 10.4/game, Racing Santander avg 12.2/game so expected 22.6 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Malaga avg 10.4/game, Racing Santander avg 12.2/game so expected 22.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Malaga under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Malaga over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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Under 4 goals 84% market BetVictor1.24 +
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Over 7.5 corners 84% market Betano1.19 +
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Malaga under 7.5 corners 84% market Betano1.19 +
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Racing Santander over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Malaga over 3.5 corners 81% market Betano1.23 +
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Racing Santander under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill1.25 +
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Malaga or Racing Santander (double chance) 80% market William Hill1.29 +
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Under 12.5 corners 79% market Betano1.26 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.