Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners
45% (model)
Corners: Sunderland avg 4.0 for/3.3 against, AZ Alkmaar avg 8.5 for/4.8 against → expected 10.3 match corners
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Over 2.5 Match Cards
58% (model)
Cards: Sunderland avg 2.0/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 1.0/game → expected 3.0 match cards
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls
46% (model)
Fouls: Sunderland avg 11.3/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 11.0/game → expected 22.3 match fouls
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Over 26.5 Match Shots
68% (model)
Shots: Sunderland avg 11.0/game, AZ Alkmaar avg 18.1/game → expected 29.1 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Key Stats
🔥
AZ Alkmaar are on a 4-game winning streak
01The read
Sunderland Host AZ Alkmaar: Our Prediction
AZ Alkmaar arrive on a 4-game winning run, yet the model still only gives them 23% here.
Sunderland have won three of their last five; AZ Alkmaar have won four straight. Form gives little away going into this Europa League tie.
Key facts
🔥
Travelling Hot
AZ Alkmaar bring a 4-game winning run into this one
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 67% of Sunderland's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 60% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals look likely here. Sunderland average 1.3 per game (1.3 at home) and AZ Alkmaar chip in with 2.7 (2.7 away). Defensively, Sunderland concede 0.8 at home and AZ Alkmaar leak 1.3 on the road. We make it 60% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Sunderland do it the hard way: only 1.3 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. AZ Alkmaar have goals in them (2.7 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (7%) and 3-1 (3%).
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Sunderland · xG
For: 1.25/g
Against: 1.32/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Sunderland Win |
@1.62
|
53.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.00
|
22.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
AZ Alkmaar Win |
@4.33
|
23.3% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.64
|
59.6% |
Grosvenor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.23
|
40.4% |
Grosvenor |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
7.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
3-0
1.7%