Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
M
M. Zajc
1+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
M. Zajc averages 0.60 SoT/match (5 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
D
D. Beljo
1+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
D. Beljo averages 0.50 SoT/match (6 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
M
M. Valinčić
1+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
M. Valinčić averages 0.50 SoT/match (6 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
M
M. Oršić
1+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
M. Oršić averages 0.50 SoT/match (6 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: Match Preview & Prediction
The model makes Dinamo Zagreb 49% favourites here. Hapoel Be'er Sheva carry the 26% upset.
The bookmakers open Hapoel Be'er Sheva at @3.40 for this Europa League tie, with Dinamo Zagreb out at @1.91.
D. Beljo has been Dinamo Zagreb's main threat, with 2 goals and 1 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 0.50 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.63. Model probability 61% vs implied 61%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
D
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb · Attacker
2 goals · 1 assist in 6 apps
0.5 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 83% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches this season
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 61% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Dinamo Zagreb have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 0.0 goals per game and Dinamo Zagreb manage 1.6. Combined that's just 1.6. Even so, we make it 61% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Dinamo Zagreb travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 23rd, they can't afford to drop many more points.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (5%) and 1-3 (1%).
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Win |
@3.40
|
26.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.50
|
25.3% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Dinamo Zagreb Win |
@1.91
|
48.8% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.63
|
60.6% |
Grosvenor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.25
|
39.4% |
Grosvenor |
05The numbers
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Team Stats
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Dinamo Zagreb
Position
23
Played
10
Record
3W-2D-5L
Goals F/A
16/22
Avg Goals Scored
1.60
Points
10
Overall Form
DLWDWW
Away Record
1W-2D-2L
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
5.3%
1-3
1.4%
0-3
1.3%