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The model makes Celta Vigo 53% favourites here. Omonoia FC carry the 21% upset.
The bookmakers open Omonoia FC at @4.00 for this Europa League tie, with Celta Vigo out at @1.80.
Omonoia FC average 0.0 goals per game and Celta Vigo manage 1.6. Combined that's just 1.6. We make it 54% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line.
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Omonoia FC do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (18%) and 0-2 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Omonoia FC Win | @4.00 | 21.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.40 | 24.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Celta Vigo Win | @1.80 | 52.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.81 | 53.9% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.96 | 46.1% | Grosvenor |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Celta Vigo the favourite with a 52.6% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Omonoia FC @ 4.00, Draw @ 3.40, Celta Vigo @ 1.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Omonoia FC vs Celta Vigo kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:45 in the Europa League.