01The read
Can Rennes Get the Job Done at SK Sturm Graz?
The model makes Rennes 48% favourites here. SK Sturm Graz carry the 26% upset.
The bookmakers open SK Sturm Graz at @3.50 for this Europa League tie, with Rennes out at @1.91.
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 100% of Rennes's matches this season
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 58% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
SK Sturm Graz average 0.0 goals per game and Rennes manage 2.0. Combined that's just 2.0. Even so, we make it 58% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
SK Sturm Graz do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Rennes have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Neither defence inspires confidence. Both sides rarely keep clean sheets. Open, attacking football is on the cards.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (7%) and 1-3 (2%).
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Rennes · xG
For: 1.89/g
Against: 1.66/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
SK Sturm Graz vs Rennes Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
SK Sturm Graz Win |
@3.50
|
25.6% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.50
|
26.2% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Rennes Win |
@1.91
|
48.2% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
58.3% |
Grosvenor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.17
|
41.7% |
Grosvenor |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
6.6%
1-3
2.2%
0-3
1.8%
2-3
1.4%