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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
The model makes Millwall 45% favourites here. Cambridge United carry the 26% upset.
Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last five; Millwall have taken 8 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Cambridge United are scoring 1.4 a game (1.4 of those at home) and Millwall manage 1.6 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Cambridge United do it the hard way: only 1.4 a game up top, but a mean 0.9 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Millwall prefer to keep things tight (0.6 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Cambridge United against this setup. Both sides keep clean sheets regularly. This could be a tight, low-block affair where the first goal is decisive.
In the last 2 meetings: Cambridge United have won 1, Millwall 1, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 1 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Cambridge United 1-0 Millwall, Millwall 3-1 Cambridge United.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Cambridge United Win | @3.50 | 25.7% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 29.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Millwall Win | @2.05 | 44.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.80 | 50.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @1.91 | 49.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.95 | 51.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 48.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.80 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.40 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.35 | - | Bet365 |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Millwall the favourite with a 44.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Cambridge United @ 3.50, Draw @ 3.30, Millwall @ 2.05. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Cambridge United vs Millwall kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 in the EFL Cup.