Key Stats
🔥
Sheffield Wednesday are on a 3-game winning streak
01The read
Can Wolves Get the Job Done at Sheffield Wednesday?
The model makes Wolves 58% favourites here. Sheffield Wednesday carry the 18% upset.
The bookmakers open Sheffield Wednesday at @4.80 for this EFL Cup tie, with Wolves out at @1.62.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickWolves to win at @1.62. Model probability 58% vs implied 62%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
🔥
Hot Streak
Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 in a row. Momentum is real
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 60% of Sheffield Wednesday's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sheffield Wednesday create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 2.2), leaving them -1.2 a game on the balance. Wolves create 1.0 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. On the quality of chances, Wolves look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Sheffield Wednesday average 1.2 goals per game and Wolves manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.2. We make it 53% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
▸ Team news & context
Wolves prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sheffield Wednesday against this setup.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Sheffield Wednesday HT
5.00
-
Draw HT
2.30
-
Wolves HT
2.00
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Sheffield Wednesday · xG
For: 0.94/g
Against: 2.18/g
📊 Wolves · xG
For: 1.02/g
Against: 1.65/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Sheffield Wednesday Win |
@4.80
|
17.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.60
|
24.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Wolves Win |
@1.62
|
58.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.75
|
47.6% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.95
|
52.4% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.80
|
53.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.00
|
46.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.80
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.38
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-1
19.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-2
4.0%
0-3
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.24
Betano
-
Sheffield Wednesday or Wolves (double chance)
84%
@1.27
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.22
10Bet
-
Sheffield Wednesday under 1.5 goals
82%
@1.27
Betano
-
Over 1.5 goals
81%
@1.27
BetVictor
-
Wolves over 1 goals
81%
@1.23
Marathon Bet
-
Under 11.5 corners
80%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Over 7.5 corners
79%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Wolves under 2.5 goals
78%
@1.34
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
77%
@1.39
Betano
-
Wolves under 7.5 corners
77%
@1.30
Unibet
-
Under 3.5 goals
76%
@1.38
10Bet
Build a slip from these markets →