Key Stats
🔥
Coventry are on a 3-game winning streak
01The read
Can Coventry Get the Job Done at Plymouth?
Coventry arrive on a 3-game winning run, yet the model still only gives them 56% here.
Plymouth have won three of their last five; Coventry have won three straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickCoventry to win at @1.70. Model probability 56% vs implied 59%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
🔥
Travelling Hot
Coventry bring a 3-game winning run into this one
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 80% of Plymouth's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 58% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals look likely here. Plymouth average 1.8 per game (1.8 at home) and Coventry chip in with 4.0 (4.0 away). Defensively, Plymouth concede 1.4 at home and Coventry leak 0.7 on the road. We make it 58% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
▸ Team news & context
Plymouth are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Coventry, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Coventry are similarly well-balanced. 4.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Plymouth HT
4.50
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Coventry HT
2.15
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Coventry · xG
For: 2.09/g
Against: 1.15/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Plymouth vs Coventry Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Plymouth Win |
@4.00
|
20.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.70
|
23.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Coventry Win |
@1.70
|
56.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.65
|
51.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
48.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
58.3% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.17
|
41.7% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.62
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.45
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
4.9%
0-4
4.3%
2-4
3.3%
1-5
2.9%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.20
William Hill
-
Plymouth or Coventry (double chance)
85%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1.5 goals
84%
@1.23
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
84%
@1.27
Unibet
-
Under 12 corners
83%
@1.20
1xBet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
82%
@1.28
Betano
-
Coventry over 1 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Plymouth under 1.5 goals
79%
@1.36
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.37
Betano
-
Coventry under 2.5 goals
77%
@1.36
Bet365
-
Over 2 goals
77%
@1.31
BetVictor
-
Coventry under 7.5 corners
77%
@1.30
Unibet
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