Key Stats
🚨
Sheffield Utd have failed to score in 50% of matches
01The read
Analysing Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd: Who Wins?
Sheffield Utd have drawn a blank in 50% of their games this season. Blackburn's defence will fancy that.
Blackburn have won three of their last five; Sheffield Utd are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
Key facts
😶
Goal Shy
Sheffield Utd fail to score in 50% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often
🔥
Creative Force
Sheffield Utd creating chances worth 2.5 a game lately. Plenty of openings even away from home
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 83% of Blackburn's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Sheffield Utd are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.8 against 1.3 actual goals). They look due a few more. A concern for Sheffield Utd: they're giving up chances worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.7 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Blackburn create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Sheffield Utd create 1.8 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Sheffield Utd look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sheffield Utd are creating chances worth 1.8 a game but only finishing 1.3. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Sheffield Utd's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 vs 1.7 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Blackburn are scoring 1.7 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Sheffield Utd manage 1.3 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
▸ Team news & context
Sheffield Utd prefer to keep things tight (0.2 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Blackburn against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Blackburn have won 3, Sheffield Utd 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Sheffield Utd 1-3 Blackburn, Blackburn 1-3 Sheffield Utd, Sheffield Utd 1-1 Blackburn.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Blackburn HT
3.20
-
Draw HT
2.15
-
Sheffield Utd HT
2.90
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Blackburn · xG
For: 1.06/g
Against: 1.53/g
📊 Sheffield Utd · xG
For: 1.79/g
Against: 1.72/g
💎 Underscoring xG by 0.36/g, value possible
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Blackburn Win |
@2.62
|
29.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.00
|
28.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Sheffield Utd Win |
@2.45
|
42.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.70
|
50.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.05
|
49.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.90
|
51.2% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.94
|
48.8% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.84
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.36
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd Head to Head
3 Home Wins
1 Draws
6 Away Wins
2.9
Avg Goals
6/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2026-04-22
Blackburn 3-1 Sheffield Utd
2025-10-21
Blackburn 1-3 Sheffield Utd
2025-05-03
Blackburn 1-1 Sheffield Utd
2024-11-02
Blackburn 0-2 Sheffield Utd
2023-03-19
Blackburn 2-3 Sheffield Utd
2023-03-04
Blackburn 1-0 Sheffield Utd
2022-08-20
Blackburn 0-3 Sheffield Utd
2022-02-23
Blackburn 0-1 Sheffield Utd
2021-11-06
Blackburn 3-1 Sheffield Utd
2019-08-27
Blackburn 1-2 Sheffield Utd
Full Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.23
Betano
-
Blackburn under 2 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Under 12 corners
84%
@1.19
1xBet
-
Over 7.5 corners
83%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Blackburn under 6.5 corners
83%
@1.34
Superbet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
82%
@1.23
Marathon Bet
-
Sheffield Utd under 2 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Sheffield Utd under 6.5 corners
82%
@1.39
Superbet
-
Sheffield Utd over 0.5 goals
81%
@1.28
Bet365
-
Over 1.5 goals
80%
@1.29
BetVictor
-
Blackburn or Sheffield Utd (double chance)
80%
@1.36
Marathon Bet
-
Sheffield Utd over 3.5 corners
79%
@1.33
Unibet
Build a slip from these markets →