Sunderland crestChelsea crest

Sunderland v Chelsea bet builder

Sunday 8 November 2026, 14:00 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Chelsea or draw

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.31 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land
1.72

The model puts this 2-leg build at 58% combined for Sunderland v Chelsea. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.38 +
  • Sunderland or Draw Double Chance 56% 1.78 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • João Pedro Chelsea
    Shots on target 1+

    João Pedro: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Pedro Neto Chelsea
    Shots on target 1+

    Pedro Neto: 1.25 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (135 min), 24% weight

  • C. Palmer Chelsea
    Shots on target 1+

    C. Palmer: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Rogers Chelsea
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Rogers: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (108 min), 20% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Sunderland avg 5.1 for/4.4 against, Chelsea avg 6.0 for/5.1 against so expected 10.3 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Sunderland avg 5.1 for/4.4 against, Chelsea avg 6.0 for/5.1 against so expected 10.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 40%
    Cards: Sunderland avg 2.0/game, Chelsea avg 2.1/game so expected 4.1 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 78%
    Cards: Sunderland avg 2.0/game, Chelsea avg 2.1/game so expected 4.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 46%
    Fouls: Sunderland avg 12.2/game, Chelsea avg 10.1/game so expected 22.2 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: Sunderland avg 12.2/game, Chelsea avg 10.1/game so expected 22.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sunderland avg 15.3/game, Chelsea avg 15.9/game so expected 31.2 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Sunderland avg 15.3/game, Chelsea avg 15.9/game so expected 31.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Chelsea under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Chelsea or Draw (double chance) 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Sunderland or Chelsea (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.37 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Sunderland over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Chelsea under 2 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.34 +
  • Sunderland under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 70% market William Hill
    1.44 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Premier League Newcastle crestEverton crestNewcastle vs Everton Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 Premier League Everton crestCoventry crestEverton vs Coventry Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Premier League Leeds crestTottenham crestLeeds vs Tottenham Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 Premier League Arsenal crestHull City crestArsenal vs Hull City Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Fulham crestNewcastle crestFulham vs Newcastle Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Nottingham Forest crestManchester City crestNottingham Forest vs Manchester City Sat 7 Nov, 17:30
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.