Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.43 +
Paris Saint Germain to win
70% the modelRecord this market has landed 71% across 199 graded picks
Our board prices this at 70%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 61% combined for Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Paris Saint Germain (first half) First Half 68% 1.43 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 63% 1.53 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 58% 1.73 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Doué Paris Saint GermainShots on target 1+
D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight
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R. Ripart Estac TroyesShots on target 1+
R. Ripart: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Doué Paris Saint GermainShots on target 2+
D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight
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João Neves Paris Saint GermainShots on target 1+
João Neves: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 41%Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 4.8 for/2.9 against, Estac Troyes avg 5.8 for/2.6 against so expected 8.0 match corners
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Over 5.5 Match Corners 80%+Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 4.8 for/2.9 against, Estac Troyes avg 5.8 for/2.6 against so expected 8.0 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 41%Cards: Paris Saint Germain avg 0.9/game, Estac Troyes avg 2.4/game so expected 3.3 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Paris Saint Germain avg 0.9/game, Estac Troyes avg 2.4/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.3/game, Estac Troyes avg 12.4/game so expected 20.7 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.3/game, Estac Troyes avg 12.4/game so expected 20.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 79%Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 15.9/game, Estac Troyes avg 15.2/game so expected 31.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 15.9/game, Estac Troyes avg 15.2/game so expected 31.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 12.5 corners 85% market Betano1.18 +
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Paris Saint Germain under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Paris Saint Germain over 4.5 corners 83% market Betano1.20 +
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Paris Saint Germain over 2 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Under 5 goals 81% market 1xBet1.28 +
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Under 3 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.23 +
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Estac Troyes over 1.5 corners 81% market Betano1.24 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 80% market William Hill1.29 +
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Over 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Over 1 first half goals 80% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Estac Troyes under 1 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Paris Saint Germain under 8.5 corners 78% market Betano1.28 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.