West Brom vs Burnley Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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0% against 0%: the model can barely split West Brom and Burnley.
West Brom have won three of their last five; Burnley are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Championship tie.
Too close to call with any conviction. West Brom edge it at 0% but a draw (0%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
West Brom create chances worth 1.7 a game (and give up chances worth 0.8), leaving them +0.9 a game on the balance. Burnley create 0.9 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -1.1. The underlying numbers clearly favour West Brom. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
West Brom average 2.0 goals per game and Burnley manage 0.9. Combined that's just 2.9. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is a long shot at 29%, mainly because Burnley fail to score in 37% of their games, which drags the number right down.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 52% of West Brom's home games and 74% of Burnley's away matches.
West Brom are in great shape right now, banging in 2.0 a game and only letting in 0.6. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | West Brom Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Burnley Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
West Brom vs Burnley kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.