Who is favourite to win Udinese vs Como?

Our model rates Como as the favourite with a 52.6% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Udinese 18.8%, draw 28.6%, Como 52.6%.

Where can I watch Udinese vs Como?

Check official Serie A broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Como?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 34.1% probability and Under 2.5 goals 65.9%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

69% verified · 766 picks Serie A Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:30

Udinese vs Como Predictions & Odds

U Udinese 18.8% @4.40

VS Draw 28.6%

C Como 52.6% @1.80

Our model call Leans Como, but only just A 53% call, draw at 29%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Udinese 19% 4.40 Draw 29% 3.40 Como 53% 1.80

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 66% 1.76 Over 2.5 34% 2.20 Over 1.5 @1.36

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 56% 1.80 Yes 44% 1.95

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

69% verified · logged before kick-off

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Over 2.5 Goals	34.1%	48.1%	14 pts under
Both Teams to Score	44.5%	51.3%	7 pts under
Udinese Win	18.8%	25.3%	7 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Match Stats

Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 43% (model) Corners: Udinese avg 5.4 for/3.8 against, Como avg 6.0 for/3.0 against → expected 9.1 match corners
Over 4.5 Match Cards 47% (model) Cards: Udinese avg 2.0/game, Como avg 2.5/game → expected 4.5 match cards
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 43% (model) Fouls: Udinese avg 11.6/game, Como avg 12.3/game → expected 23.9 match fouls
Over 24.5 Match Shots 45% (model) Shots: Udinese avg 14.0/game, Como avg 10.0/game → expected 24.0 match shots

Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Key Stats

🔥 Como are on a 3-game winning streak

01The read

Bragging Rights at Stake: Udinese vs Como

Udinese 19%, the draw 29%, Como 53%. That's the shape of this one.

Como slight edge (53%) | Lower-scoring game likely (66%) | Predicted: 0-1 Confidence ★★★★★

Udinese have lost their last two; Como have won three straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Serie A tie.

Our verdict

A razor-thin margin: Como at 53%, but the draw sits at 29%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

🎯

Chances Favour Away Como come out at +0.8 a game on chance quality against Udinese's -0.3. The visitors are creating far better chances

📉

Home Wobble Udinese arrive off 2 straight defeats. The home crowd will need something early

🔥

Travelling Hot Como bring a 3-game winning run into this one

▸ Form & goals

The gap in chance quality is clear: Como come out at +0.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Udinese create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Como create 1.7 (giving up 0.8) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Como look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.

Udinese average 1.4 goals per game and Como manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 34% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 45%. Two or more goals at @1.36 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams score in 37% of Udinese's home games and 37% of Como's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Como prefer to keep things tight (0.2 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Udinese against this setup.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (16%) and 0-2 (10%).

First Half Result

Udinese HT 5.00
Draw HT 2.10
Como HT 2.30

Team Intel

📊 Udinese · xG

For: 1.21/g Against: 1.52/g

📊 Como · xG

For: 1.66/g Against: 0.83/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Udinese vs Como Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Udinese Win	@4.40	18.8%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.40	28.6%	William Hill
Match Result	Como Win	@1.80	52.6%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.95	44.5%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.80	55.5%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.20	34.1%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.76	65.9%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.36	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.20	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@4.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.26	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Udinese

2L streak

Last 5 LLWWD

At home LW

Clean sheets 29% BTTS 45% FTS 29%

Como

3W streak 5 unbeaten

Last 5 WWWDW

On the road WWW

Clean sheets 50% BTTS 42% FTS 24%

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 0-1 15.9%

0-2 10.3%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Como under 2.5 goals 85% @1.21 Pinnacle
Udinese under 1.5 goals 84% @1.24 Betano
Under 3.5 goals 83% @1.26 Betano
Under 2 second half goals 83% @1.20 Marathon Bet
Over 0.5 second half goals 82% @1.33 Betano
Udinese or Como (double chance) 81% @1.32 1xBet
Over 6.5 corners 79% @1.27 Unibet
Como under 6.5 corners 78% @1.30 Unibet
Under 10.5 corners 78% @1.30 Unibet
Como under 2 goals 76% @1.32 Marathon Bet
Como over 3.5 corners 76% @1.35 Unibet
Under 1.5 first half goals 75% @1.40 Betano

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Udinese v Como builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 Como or Draw 81% @ 1.23
2 Over 1.5 Goals 73% @ 1.36
3 Both Teams to Score - No 56% @ 1.80

@3.02 £10 returns £30.20

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The record

69%

verified hit rate across 766 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Udinese vs Como: FAQs

Who will win Udinese vs Como?

Our model makes Como the favourite with a 52.6% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Udinese vs Como?

Best available odds: Udinese @ 4.40, Draw @ 3.40, Como @ 1.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Udinese vs Como kick off?

Udinese vs Como kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 in the Serie A.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Como?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 44.5% probability.

Udinese vs Como prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Como to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.