Tottenham vs Newcastle Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Tottenham (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Tottenham have won three of their last five; Newcastle have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Tottenham create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.0), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Newcastle create 1.6 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Tottenham average 1.3 goals per game and Newcastle manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 68% of Tottenham's home games and 53% of Newcastle's away matches.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Tottenham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Newcastle Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Tottenham vs Newcastle kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.