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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sunderland have taken 8 points from their last five; Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.
Fulham are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.3 against 0.7 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sunderland create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Fulham create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Fulham are creating chances worth 1.3 a game but only finishing 0.7. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Sunderland average 1.5 goals per game and Fulham manage 0.7. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 47% of Sunderland's home games and 53% of Fulham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Fulham prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sunderland against this setup.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 0-1 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sunderland Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fulham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sunderland vs Fulham kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.