Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Liverpool have taken five points from their last five; Nottingham Forest have taken five points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.
Nottingham Forest could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.1 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.4. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. A concern for Nottingham Forest: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Liverpool create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Nottingham Forest create 1.4 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Nottingham Forest are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.1 goals vs chance quality of 1.4). Both runs could cool off at once. Nottingham Forest's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Liverpool average 1.8 goals per game and Nottingham Forest manage 2.1. Combined that's just 4.0. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is a long shot at 29%, mainly because Nottingham Forest fail to score in 37% of their games, which drags the number right down.
Both teams score in 68% of Liverpool's home games and 47% of Nottingham Forest's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Liverpool are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.8 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Nottingham Forest, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Nottingham Forest have goals in them (2.1 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 0-1 (6%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Liverpool Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Nottingham Forest Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:30 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.