Coventry vs Hull City Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Coventry have won three straight; Hull City have won three of their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Premier League tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Coventry come out at +0.9 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.0. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Coventry create chances worth 2.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.9 a game on the balance. Hull City create 1.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of 0.0. The underlying numbers clearly favour Coventry. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Coventry average 4.0 goals per game and Hull City manage 1.3. Combined that's just 5.3. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). Coventry shut the door in 37% of their games and Hull City draw a blank in 17% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Coventry and Hull City together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 61% of Coventry's home games and 65% of Hull City's away matches.
Coventry are in great shape right now, banging in 4.0 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. Hull City prefer to keep things tight (0.9 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Coventry against this setup.
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (10%) and 1-0 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Coventry Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hull City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Coventry vs Hull City kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.