Who is favourite to win Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our model rates Juventus as the favourite with a 60.0% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Sassuolo 14.9%, draw 23.1%, Juventus 60.0%.

Where can I watch Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Check official Serie A broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 48.8% probability and Under 2.5 goals 51.2%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

70% verified · 876 picks Serie A Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:00

Sassuolo vs Juventus Predictions & Odds

S Sassuolo 14.9% @5.00

VS Draw 23.1%

J Juventus 60.0% @1.62

Our model call Clear favourites: Juventus A 60% call, draw at 23%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Sassuolo 15% 5.00 Draw 23% 3.75 Juventus 60% 1.62

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 51% 1.98 Over 2.5 49% 1.91 Over 1.5 @1.28

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 50% 1.85 Yes 50% 1.91

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

70% verified · logged before kick-off

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Over 2.5 Goals	48.8%	54.6%	6 pts under
Juventus Win	60.0%	65.4%	5 pts under
Both Teams to Score	50.2%	55.2%	5 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Match Stats

Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

Over 8.5 Match Corners 50% (model) Corners: Sassuolo avg 2.8 for/4.2 against, Juventus avg 6.3 for/4.1 against → expected 8.7 match corners
Over 4.5 Match Cards 51% (model) Cards: Sassuolo avg 2.5/game, Juventus avg 2.3/game → expected 4.8 match cards
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 49% (model) Fouls: Sassuolo avg 11.4/game, Juventus avg 13.1/game → expected 24.5 match fouls
Over 26.5 Match Shots 88% (model) Shots: Sassuolo avg 18.7/game, Juventus avg 14.7/game → expected 33.3 match shots

Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

01The read

Sassuolo vs Juventus: Match Preview & Prediction

The model makes Juventus 60% favourites here. Sassuolo carry the 15% upset.

Juventus to win (60%) | Predicted: 0-1 Confidence ★★★★★

A Serie A meeting between Sassuolo (11th, 3 pts) and Juventus (4th, 6 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.

Our verdict

Juventus shade it at 60%, though Sassuolo won't be pushovers. If you're building an acca, backing Juventus with your stake back if it's a draw is the safer option.

Our pick

Our PickJuventus to win at @1.62. Model probability 60% vs implied 62%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.

Model60%

Market62%

▸ Form & goals

Juventus are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 1.0 per game on the road. Sassuolo (W1 D0 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Season-long, Juventus average 3.0 points per game compared to Sassuolo's 1.5. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Juventus are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.9 against 1.5 actual goals). They look due a few more. The gap in chance quality is clear: Juventus come out at +1.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.2. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. Sassuolo have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.5 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.2. They're creating more as the season goes on.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Sassuolo create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Juventus create 1.9 (giving up 0.8) for a balance of +1.1. On the quality of chances, Juventus look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Juventus are creating chances worth 1.9 a game but only finishing 1.5. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Sassuolo are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game over the last 5 vs 1.2 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Sassuolo are scoring 1.5 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Juventus manage 1.5 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 49%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 50%. Two or more goals at @1.28 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams score in 47% of Sassuolo's home games and 42% of Juventus's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Juventus prefer to keep things tight (0.7 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sassuolo against this setup.

In the last 10 meetings: Sassuolo have won 3, Juventus 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus, Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 4-2 Juventus.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9%).

First Half Result

Sassuolo HT 5.00
Draw HT 2.30
Juventus HT 2.10

Team Intel

📊 Sassuolo · xG

For: 1.18/g Against: 1.39/g

📊 Juventus · xG

For: 1.89/g Against: 0.81/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.79/g, value possible

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Sassuolo vs Juventus Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Sassuolo Win	@5.00	14.9%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.75	23.1%	William Hill
Match Result	Juventus Win	@1.62	60.0%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.91	50.2%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.85	49.8%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.91	48.8%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.98	51.2%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.28	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.75	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.20	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.37	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Sassuolo

1W streak

Last 5 WLLLL

At home WLW

Clean sheets 21% BTTS 53% FTS 32%

Juventus

2W streak 3 unbeaten

Last 5 WWDLW

On the road WDWD

Clean sheets 42% BTTS 45% FTS 21%

Sassuolo vs Juventus Team Stats

US Sassuolo Calcio

Position 11

Played 2

Record 1W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 3/3

Avg Goals Scored 1.50

Points 3

Overall Form WLLLL

Home Form WLW

Home Record 1W-0D-0L

Juventus FC

Position 4

Played 2

Record 2W-0D-0L

Goals F/A 3/0

Avg Goals Scored 1.50

Points 6

Overall Form WWDLW

Away Form WDWD

Away Record 1W-0D-0L

Sassuolo vs Juventus Head to Head

3 Home Wins 1 Draws 6 Away Wins

3.1 Avg Goals

6/10 BTTS

8/10 Over 2.5

2026-03-21 Sassuolo 1-1 Juventus

2026-01-06 Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus

2024-01-16 Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus

2023-09-23 Sassuolo 4-2 Juventus

2023-04-16 Sassuolo 1-0 Juventus

2022-08-15 Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus

2022-04-25 Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus

2022-02-10 Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus

2021-10-27 Sassuolo 2-1 Juventus

2021-05-12 Sassuolo 1-3 Juventus

Full Sassuolo vs Juventus head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 0-1 11.1%

1-2 9.2%

0-2 8.3%

1-3 4.6%

0-3 4.2%

2-3 2.5%

1-4 1.7%

0-4 1.6%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Under 2.5 second half goals 85% @1.23 Betano
Under 12.5 corners 84% @1.19 Unibet
Over 0.5 second half goals 83% @1.25 William Hill
Sassuolo or Juventus (double chance) 83% @1.27 Marathon Bet
Sassuolo under 1.5 goals 83% @1.23 Betano
Juventus over 1 goals 81% @1.24 1xBet
Sassuolo under 5.5 corners 81% @1.23 Unibet
Over 1.5 goals 80% @1.30 Betano
Juventus under 7.5 corners 79% @1.27 Unibet
Juventus under 2.5 goals 77% @1.34 Betano
Over 7.5 corners 77% @1.30 Unibet
Under 3.5 goals 76% @1.37 Betano

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Sassuolo v Juventus builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 78% @ 1.28
2 Over 1.5 Goals 74% @ 1.35

@1.72 £10 returns £17.24

View full breakdown

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The record

70%

verified hit rate across 876 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Sassuolo vs Juventus: FAQs

Who will win Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our model makes Juventus the favourite with a 60.0% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Best available odds: Sassuolo @ 5.00, Draw @ 3.75, Juventus @ 1.62. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Sassuolo vs Juventus kick off?

Sassuolo vs Juventus kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Serie A.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 50.2% probability.

Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Juventus to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.