Napoli vs Bologna Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Napoli (7th, 3 pts) host Bologna (14th, 0 pts) in the Serie A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Season-long, Napoli average 3.0 points per game compared to Bologna's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. The gap in chance quality is clear: Napoli come out at +1.4 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.1. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Napoli create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 0.4), leaving them +1.4 a game on the balance. Bologna create 1.1 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of -0.1. The underlying numbers clearly favour Napoli. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Napoli average 2.0 goals per game and Bologna manage 1.2. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 23% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 28%). Napoli shut the door in 39% of their games and Bologna draw a blank in 29% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 58% of Napoli's home games and 58% of Bologna's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Napoli are in great shape right now, banging in 2.0 a game and only letting in 0.5. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
In the last 10 meetings: Napoli have won 4, Bologna 3, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Napoli 2-3 Bologna, Napoli 2-0 Bologna, Bologna 2-0 Napoli, Bologna 1-1 Napoli.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Napoli Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bologna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Napoli vs Bologna kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.2% probability.