Torino vs AS Roma Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Torino (15th, 0 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form AS Roma (4th, 3 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
Torino's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Season-long, AS Roma average 3.0 points per game compared to Torino's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. AS Roma could be in for a similar cool-off. 4.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.7. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. The gap in chance quality is clear: AS Roma come out at +0.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Torino create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. AS Roma create 1.7 (giving up 0.9) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, AS Roma look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. AS Roma are also scoring more than their chances suggest (4.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.7). Both runs could cool off at once.
Goals look likely here. Torino average 1.0 per game (1.0 at home) and AS Roma chip in with 4.0 (4.0 away). Defensively, Torino concede 2.0 at home and AS Roma leak 0.3 on the road. We make it 65% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Torino create chances worth 1.6 a game and AS Roma 1.7. Combined, that's 3.3 a game from open play alone.
Both teams score in 63% of Torino's home games and 42% of AS Roma's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
AS Roma are similarly well-balanced. 4.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Torino have won 2, AS Roma 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Torino 0-2 AS Roma, AS Roma 2-3 Torino, AS Roma 0-1 Torino, Torino 0-2 AS Roma.
Most likely scorelines: 0-3 (12%) and 0-4 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Torino Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | AS Roma Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Torino vs AS Roma kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:30 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 46.6% probability.