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Lecce (7th, 3 pts) host Monza (18th, 0 pts) in the Serie A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Season-long, Lecce average 3.0 points per game compared to Monza's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
Goals look likely here. Lecce average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Monza chip in with 1.5 (1.0 away). Defensively, Lecce concede 0.7 at home and Monza leak 4.0 on the road. We make it 64% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%. Worth noting: despite the stats pointing to goals, this fixture has historically averaged just 1.5 per game. Their history says take it with a pinch of salt.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 37% of Lecce's home games and 100% of Monza's away matches.
Monza travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 18th, they can't afford to drop many more points.
Lecce are in great shape right now, banging in 2.0 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
In the last 10 meetings: Lecce have won 4, Monza 1, with 5 draws. These fixtures average 1.5 goals per game. 2 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Monza 0-0 Lecce, Lecce 2-1 Monza, Lecce 1-1 Monza, Monza 1-1 Lecce.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%) and 3-1 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lecce Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Monza Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Lecce vs Monza kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 52.5% probability.