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QPR are unbeaten in their last six; Preston have lost five in a row. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Championship tie.
Preston are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.7 against 0.8 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
QPR create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Preston create 1.7 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Preston are creating chances worth 1.7 a game but only finishing 0.8. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
QPR average 1.8 goals per game and Preston manage 0.8. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 83% of QPR's home games and 61% of Preston's away matches.
QPR are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Preston, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: QPR have won 6, Preston 2, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Preston 1-1 QPR, QPR 1-1 Preston, Preston 1-2 QPR.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | QPR Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Preston Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
QPR vs Preston kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.