Millwall vs West Ham Predictions & Odds
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A Championship clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Millwall (10th, 6 pts) and West Ham (12th, 5 pts) both have plenty to play for.
Millwall will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D0 L1 at home). West Ham's away record reads W0 D2 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Millwall create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. West Ham create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals look likely here. Millwall average 1.5 per game (1.5 at home) and West Ham chip in with 2.0 (1.5 away). Defensively, Millwall concede 1.5 at home and West Ham leak 1.5 on the road. We make it 65% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 58%. Worth noting: despite the stats pointing to goals, this fixture has historically averaged just 1.5 per game. Their history says take it with a pinch of salt.
Both teams score in 39% of Millwall's home games and 47% of West Ham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
West Ham have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 2 meetings: Millwall have won 0, West Ham 1, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 1.5 goals per game. 1 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: West Ham 2-1 Millwall, Millwall 0-0 West Ham.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Millwall Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | West Ham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Millwall vs West Ham kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 57.9% probability.