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Lincoln (17th, 4 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Swansea (1st, 10 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
Swansea are no pushovers away from home. W2 D0 L0 from 2 away trips, scoring 2.5 per game on the road. Lincoln (W0 D1 L1 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
Lincoln average 0.8 goals per game and Swansea manage 1.8. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 35% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 40%.
Both teams score in 61% of Lincoln's home games and 48% of Swansea's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Lincoln need points desperately. Sitting 17th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Swansea prefer to keep things tight (0.3 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Lincoln against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lincoln Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Swansea Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Lincoln vs Swansea kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 40.3% probability.