Portsmouth vs Blackburn Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Portsmouth (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Portsmouth (21st, 3 pts) host Blackburn (13th, 5 pts) in the Championship. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Portsmouth will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L2 at home). Blackburn's away record reads W0 D2 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. A concern for Blackburn: they're giving up chances worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Portsmouth create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Blackburn create 1.1 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Blackburn's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Portsmouth are scoring 1.3 a game (0.5 of those at home) and Blackburn manage 1.3 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.
Both teams score in 48% of Portsmouth's home games and 39% of Blackburn's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Portsmouth need points desperately. Sitting 21st in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
In the last 6 meetings: Portsmouth have won 2, Blackburn 3, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 4 of the last 6 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Blackburn 1-1 Portsmouth, Portsmouth 2-1 Blackburn, Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Portsmouth Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Blackburn Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Blackburn kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 47.7% probability.