Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
T
T. Lehne Olsen
1+ Shots on Target
64% (model)
T. Lehne Olsen averages 0.92 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
M
M. Karlsbakk
1+ Shots on Target
59% (model)
M. Karlsbakk averages 0.80 SoT/match (15 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
S
S. Drammeh
1+ Shots on Target
52% (model)
S. Drammeh averages 0.67 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
L
L. Ranger
1+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
L. Ranger averages 0.50 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
V
Vá
1+ Shots on Target
39% (model)
Vá averages 0.44 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Key Stats
🚨
Torreense have failed to score in 50% of matches
01The read
Lillestrom Host Torreense: Our Prediction
Torreense have drawn a blank in 50% of their games this season. Lillestrom's defence will fancy that.
Lillestrom have lost three of their last five; Torreense are winless in their last six. Neither side arrives in rhythm for this Europa League tie.
Vá has been Lillestrom's spearhead, with 4 goals and 5 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.44 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Torreense's line will have a job on against that profile.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickLillestrom to win at @1.44. Model probability 59% vs implied 69%. The market is 11pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
V
Vá
Lillestrom · Attacker
4 goals · 5 assists in 18 apps
0.4 shots on target a game
Key facts
😶
Goal Shy
Torreense fail to score in 50% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 61% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Lillestrom average 1.2 goals per game and Torreense manage 0.8. Combined that's just 2.0. Even so, we make it 61% for three or more. The model sees more goals here than the season averages suggest.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%) and 3-1 (4%).
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Lillestrom vs Torreense Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Lillestrom Win |
@1.44
|
58.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.00
|
22.4% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Torreense Win |
@6.00
|
18.9% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.61
|
60.6% |
Grosvenor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.30
|
39.4% |
Grosvenor |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
4-0
1.2%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 1 priced markets
-
Lillestrom to win
69%
@1.56
Grosvenor
Build a slip from these markets →