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Borussia Dortmund have won three of their last four; SC Paderborn 07 are unbeaten in their last six. Form gives little away going into this Bundesliga tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Borussia Dortmund average 2.3 per game and SC Paderborn 07 chip in with 2.2. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Borussia Dortmund are scoring 2.3 a game (2.3 of those at home) and SC Paderborn 07 manage 2.2 (2.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). Borussia Dortmund shut the door in 44% of their games and SC Paderborn 07 draw a blank in 17% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 41% of Borussia Dortmund's home games and 67% of SC Paderborn 07's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Borussia Dortmund are in great shape right now, banging in 2.3 a game and only letting in 0.8. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back. SC Paderborn 07 have goals in them (2.2 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 7 meetings: Borussia Dortmund have won 4, SC Paderborn 07 0, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 5.0 goals per game. 6 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SC Paderborn 07, Borussia Dortmund 1-1 SC Paderborn 07, SC Paderborn 07 1-6 Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Dortmund 3-3 SC Paderborn 07.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%) and 2-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Borussia Dortmund Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | SC Paderborn 07 Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.