1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Predictions & Odds
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1899 Hoffenheim have won four of their last six; VfB Stuttgart are unbeaten in their last four. Form gives little away going into this Bundesliga tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. 1899 Hoffenheim average 2.5 per game and VfB Stuttgart chip in with 2.3. Expect an open, attacking contest. VfB Stuttgart could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.3 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.9. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. A concern for VfB Stuttgart: they're giving up chances worth 2.2 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.8 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
1899 Hoffenheim create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. VfB Stuttgart create 1.9 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of +0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. VfB Stuttgart are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.3 goals vs chance quality of 1.9). Both runs could cool off at once. VfB Stuttgart's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.2 a game over their last 5 vs 1.8 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. 1899 Hoffenheim are scoring 2.5 a game (2.5 of those at home) and VfB Stuttgart manage 2.3 (2.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of 1899 Hoffenheim's home games and 82% of VfB Stuttgart's away matches.
1899 Hoffenheim are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at VfB Stuttgart, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. VfB Stuttgart have goals in them (2.3 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim have won 2, VfB Stuttgart 2, with 6 draws. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim, 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 VfB Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim.
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%) and 1-1 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | 1899 Hoffenheim Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | VfB Stuttgart Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.