1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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A Bundesliga tie. Our model makes it 1. FC Köln 0%, the draw 0%, Werder Bremen 0%.
The gap in chance quality is clear: 1. FC Köln come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.6. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
1. FC Köln create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Werder Bremen create 1.2 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour 1. FC Köln. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
1. FC Köln average 0.0 goals per game and Werder Bremen manage 0.5. Combined that's just 0.5. We make it 50% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Both teams scoring is a long shot at 29%, mainly because Werder Bremen fail to score in 38% of their games, which drags the number right down.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 88% of 1. FC Köln's home games and 47% of Werder Bremen's away matches.
1. FC Köln do it the hard way: only 0.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.0 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. The chance data suggests 1. FC Köln will create openings. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game and Werder Bremen give up chances worth 1.7 on the road. Expect 1. FC Köln to see plenty of the ball.
Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (31%) and 1-0 (27%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | 1. FC Köln Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Werder Bremen Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.